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Mitchell Edwards

Geelong Cats

Value call

Mitchell Edwards (Geelong Cats) has one live pick today: over 1.5 tackles that pays $142 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
60 in 100
Predicted
2.5 tackles
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 59.5% · before adjusting for past results 71.1% · the book's price implies 70.4% · gap -10.9%.

Latest Model PickFree
Carlton Blues @ Geelong Cats
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Fri 4 Sep, 7:40 PM AEST
Mitchell Edwards
over 1.5 tackles
Tackles Over 1.5 -238 (1.42) · $100→$142
Value call
HIGHWins about 60 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$14.20 Odds-238
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Mitchell Edwards is Over 1.5 on Tackles.
On Tackles, our numbers say this bet wins about 60 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 60%, the price says 70%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 26, 4:08PM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Tackles71.1%59.5%70.4%1.68+0.7%

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AI Analysis

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Geelong Cats vs Carlton Blues: Mitchell Edwards Over 1.5 Tackles (-238)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

For Mitchell Edwards to get over 1.5 tackles tonight, he needs to be active and involved in the game. With Carlton winning the contested ball by almost 9 tackles a game recently, there should be plenty of opportunities for him to step in and make those tackles. Plus, Geelong has been giving away a fair number of points, and any extra action could lead to more chances for him to rack up those tackles. Edwards has a good shot at reaching this mark since Carlton's game style will likely keep the pressure on. However, the risk here is that Geelong's recent form shows they can break even on contested possessions, which might limit the overall chances for tackles. Still, considering how well Carlton has been playing lately, this bet looks promising.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
TacklesSeason form & hit rateNo line posted

Mitchell Edwards - AFL Tackles market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
04 Sep 26 Carlton Blues @ Geelong Cats Tackles 1.5 Over -238 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Mitchell Edwards (Geelong Cats) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Mitchell Edwards is Over 1.5 on Tackles. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.7% on this pick. Their next game is Carlton Blues vs Geelong Cats on Friday 4 September at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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