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AFL

Miles Bergman

Port Adelaide

+2.7% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 11.5 -769 (1.13)
+2.7% Edge
Port Adelaide Power @ Hawthorn Hawks
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne
Sat 18 Apr, 6:15AM
Model Probability
91.1%
Implied Probability
88.5%
Model Edge
+2.7%
Predicted Value
18.2 Disposals

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Miles Bergman (Port Adelaide) Over 11.5 Disposals (-769)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing Miles Bergman to go over 11.5 disposals against Hawthorn, the numbers paint a compelling picture. In his last five away games, Bergman has been a midfield force, averaging 13.6 disposals with a solid 64.0% disposal efficiency. Facing Hawthorn, he's even more effective, averaging 12.5 disposals in his last five matchups against them. With a knack for amassing contested possessions and intercepts, Bergman consistently finds the footy, making him a reliable bet to exceed the 11.5 mark. His recent form, coupled with his historical performance against Hawthorn, suggests that backing him to hit this mark is a smart play for footy punters looking to snag a win on this AFL clash.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (8 picks) 87.5% (7/8)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
12 Apr 26 St Kilda Saints @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals 14.5 Over -333 ✓ HIT
12 Apr 26 St Kilda Saints @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals 15.5 Over -227 ✓ HIT
12 Apr 26 St Kilda Saints @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals 11.5 Over -769 ✓ HIT
12 Apr 26 St Kilda Saints @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals — — — Pending
12 Apr 26 St Kilda Saints @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals — — — Pending
04 Apr 26 Port Adelaide Power @ Richmond Tigers Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Miles Bergman (Port Adelaide) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 8 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 87.5% (7/8). The latest model pick for Miles Bergman is Over 11.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.7% on this pick. Their next game is Port Adelaide Power vs Hawthorn Hawks on Saturday 18 April at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.