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The latest Bet Better model pick for Miles Bergman is Over 15.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 71%, versus the book's implied 62%, for a model edge of +8.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 1:05PM UTC
AFL

Miles Bergman

Port Adelaide

+8.7% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 15.5 -164 (1.61)
+8.7% Edge
Port Adelaide Power @ Hawthorn Hawks
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sat 18 Apr, 6:15AM
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Model Probability
70.9%
Implied Probability
62.1%
Model Edge
+8.7%
Predicted Value
18.2 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals70.9%62.1%1.41+8.7%

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AI Analysis

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Miles Bergman (Port Adelaide) Over 15.5 Disposals (-164)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Alright, footy punters, let's talk Miles Bergman for this weekend's clash between the Port Adelaide Power and the Hawthorn Hawks. Bergman, the young gun on the away side, has been showing some serious form lately. In his last five away games, he's been an absolute workhorse, averaging 13.6 disposals per match. Facing off against Hawthorn, a team he's historically performed well against, with an average of 12.5 disposals in their recent encounters, the stage is set for Bergman to shine. With an average disposals prediction of 18.2 for this game and a solid 64.0% disposal efficiency on the road, Bergman is poised to make a significant impact. His ability to find space, gain meters, and create opportunities for his team makes hitting that Over 15.5 disposals mark look like a solid bet. So, if you're looking for a player prop with a strong statistical backing, putting your money on Bergman to rack up the possessions seems like a smart play.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 5 of last 5(100%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
15.7avg disposals recent
Season best22
Disposals last 10avg 15.7 · hi 18 · lo 14
18151614181514171515

Miles Bergman has a disposals high of 22 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
18 Apr 26 Port Adelaide Power @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals 15.5 Over -164 ✓ HIT
18 Apr 26 Port Adelaide Power @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals 14.5 Over -238 ✓ HIT
18 Apr 26 Port Adelaide Power @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals 13.5 Over -357 ✓ HIT
18 Apr 26 Port Adelaide Power @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals Pending
18 Apr 26 Port Adelaide Power @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals Pending
12 Apr 26 St Kilda Saints @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals Pending

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About This Player

Miles Bergman (Port Adelaide) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Miles Bergman is Over 15.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +8.7% on this pick. Their next game is Port Adelaide Power vs Hawthorn Hawks on Saturday 18 April at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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