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The latest Bet Better model pick for Miles Bergman is Over 13.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 83 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 83%, implied 78%, edge +4.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 30, 10:21PM UTC
AFL

Miles Bergman

Port Adelaide

+4.8% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 13.5 -357 (1.28) · $100→$128
+4.8% Edge
Port Adelaide Power @ Hawthorn Hawks
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sat 18 Apr, 6:15AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 18°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
GOOD confidence
How often this wins
83 in 100
Predicted
18.2 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 82.9% · the book's price implies 78.1% · gap +4.8%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals82.9%—78.1%1.21+4.8%

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AI Analysis

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Miles Bergman (Port Adelaide) Over 13.5 Disposals (-357)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Miles Bergman has been a consistent force on the field, averaging 13.6 disposals in his last five away games. With his precise kicking (64.0% disposal efficiency) and ability to cover ground (309.8 metres gained on average), Bergman is a key playmaker for Port Adelaide, especially against Hawthorn where he has historically performed well with an average of 12.5 disposals per game. Despite a recent slight dip in form, Bergman's overall season averages are solid, boasting 12 disposals per game with a 70.0% efficiency rate. Facing the Hawks at Marvel Stadium, Bergman is poised to capitalize on his strengths, making Over 13.5 disposals a compelling bet. Bet confidently on Bergman to hit the mark and impact the game significantly.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Miles Bergman averaged 15.7 disposals, 0.2 goals and 6.5 marks per game across 26 games in 2024.

15.7
Disposals
0.2
Goals
6.5
Marks
2.8
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (20 Sep 24 vs Sydney Swans), Miles Bergman recorded 15 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
20 Sep 24Sydney Swans15051
13 Sep 24Hawthorn15031
5 Sep 24Geelong Cats170101
25 Aug 24Fremantle14062
17 Aug 24Adelaide Crows15064
10 Aug 24Melbourne180102
3 Aug 24Sydney Swans140113
26 Jul 24Carlton16076
20 Jul 24Richmond15081
14 Jul 24Gold Coast SUNS18096
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Miles Bergman (Port Adelaide) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Miles Bergman is Over 13.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +4.8% on this pick. Their next game is Port Adelaide Power vs Hawthorn Hawks on Saturday 18 April at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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