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The latest Bet Better model pick for Max King is Over 0.5 on Goals.
On Goals, our numbers say this bet wins about 92 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 92%, implied 87%, edge +5.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 15, 12:02PM UTC
AFL

Max King

St Kilda

+5.4% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -667 (1.15) · $100→$115
+5.4% Edge
St Kilda Saints @ North Melbourne Kangaroos
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sun 26 Jul, 5:15AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: rain, 16°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
92 in 100
Predicted
1.6 Goals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 92.4% · the book's price implies 87.0% · gap +5.4%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Goals92.4%—87.0%1.08+5.4%

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AI Analysis

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Max King (St Kilda) Over 0.5 Goals (-667)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Max King is primed to light up Marvel Stadium against North Melbourne this weekend. With a stellar average of 2 goals in his last 5 away games and a solid 58% goal accuracy, King is a scoring machine waiting to explode. His recent form boasts an impressive 4 score involvements per game, showcasing his impact on St Kilda's forward line. Additionally, averaging 3.4 shots at goal per game demonstrates his hunger for snagging goals. Facing North Melbourne, where he has averaged 1.3 goals in their last 5 encounters, King's track record speaks volumes. With a current hit streak of 4 games away from home, King is in red-hot form. Bet on Max King to snag over 0.5 goals and watch him split the middle with ease.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Max King averaged 10.4 disposals, 1.6 goals and 4.2 marks per game across 12 games in 2024.

10.4
Disposals
1.6
Goals
4.2
Marks
0.7
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (30 Jun 24 vs Port Adelaide), Max King recorded 10 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
30 Jun 24Port Adelaide10030
14 Jun 24Brisbane Lions8351
8 Jun 24Gold Coast SUNS10251
1 Jun 24West Coast Eagles8221
26 May 24Melbourne14350
18 May 24Fremantle10032
11 May 24Hawthorn8230
4 May 24North Melbourne7111
13 Apr 24GWS GIANTS4010
7 Apr 24Richmond14160
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
26 Jul 26 St Kilda Saints @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Goals 0.5 Over -667 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Max King (St Kilda) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Max King is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +5.4% on this pick. Their next game is St Kilda Saints vs North Melbourne Kangaroos on Sunday 26 July at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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