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The latest Bet Better model pick for Max King is Over 0.5 on Goals.
On the Goals market the model assigns a model win probability of 92%, versus the book's implied 87%, for a model edge of +5.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 26, 4:00AM UTC
AFL

Max King

St Kilda

+5.4% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -667 (1.15)
+5.4% Edge
St Kilda Saints @ North Melbourne Kangaroos
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sun 26 Jul, 5:15AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL and NFL only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: rain, 16°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
92.4%
Implied Probability
87.0%
Model Edge
+5.4%
Predicted Value
1.6 Goals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Goals92.4%—87.0%1.08+5.4%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games3/5
Last 10 games5/10

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AI Analysis

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Max King (St Kilda) Over 0.5 Goals (-667)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Max King is primed to light up Marvel Stadium against North Melbourne this weekend. With a stellar average of 2 goals in his last 5 away games and a solid 58% goal accuracy, King is a scoring machine waiting to explode. His recent form boasts an impressive 4 score involvements per game, showcasing his impact on St Kilda's forward line. Additionally, averaging 3.4 shots at goal per game demonstrates his hunger for snagging goals. Facing North Melbourne, where he has averaged 1.3 goals in their last 5 encounters, King's track record speaks volumes. With a current hit streak of 4 games away from home, King is in red-hot form. Bet on Max King to snag over 0.5 goals and watch him split the middle with ease.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

1 market live
Goalsvs North MelbourneO 0.5 -667+5.4% edge
70%hit L10 O 0.5
2avg goals L5
Away2vs North Melbourne1.3Season best6
O 0.570%
O 1.550%
O 2.520%
Game log vs line (O 0.5)7 / 10 hit
1012032230

Max King has gone over 0.5 goals in 7 of his last 10 AFL games (last-5 average 2 goals, best 6). Current line: Over 0.5 at -667, model edge +5.4%.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Max King (St Kilda) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Max King is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +5.4% on this pick. Their next game is St Kilda Saints vs North Melbourne Kangaroos on Sunday 26 July at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

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