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AFL

Max Gawn

Melbourne

+19.5% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Under 21.5 -114 (1.88)
+19.5% Edge
Essendon Bombers @ Melbourne Demons
MCG, Melbourne
Sat 13 Jun, 3:15AM
Model Probability
72.7%
Implied Probability
53.2%
Model Edge
+19.5%
Predicted Value
18.5 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Max Gawn (Melbourne) Under 21.5 Disposals (-114)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Looking at this weekend's clash between the Melbourne Demons and the Essendon Bombers, Max Gawn takes center stage as a prime candidate for the 'Under 21.5 Disposals' prop bet. Gawn, a force in the ruck, has been averaging 20.8 disposals in his last five home games, just shy of the 21.5 line. His recent form showcases a strong contested possession game with 14 average possessions in this category. Additionally, Gawn's disposal efficiency stands at 60.3%, indicating precision in his plays despite the pressure. Against Essendon, he typically records around 22 disposals, slightly above the line but within reach considering his recent overall average of 20.2 disposals. With a model prediction of 18.5 and a 19.5% edge, Gawn's performance suggests he may fall short of the 21.5 benchmark in this game.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (7 picks) 85.7% (6/7)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
11 Apr 26 Melbourne Demons @ Essendon Bombers Disposals 22.5 Under -122 ✓ HIT
10 Aug 25 Western Bulldogs @ Melbourne Demons Disposals 19.5 Under -116 ✗ MISS
27 Jul 25 Melbourne Demons @ St Kilda Saints Goals 0.5 Over +190 ✓ HIT
19 Jul 25 Melbourne Demons @ Carlton Blues Disposals Pending
13 Jul 25 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Melbourne Demons Disposals Pending
06 Jul 25 Melbourne Demons @ Adelaide Crows Disposals Pending

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About This Player

Max Gawn (Melbourne) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 7 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 85.7% (6/7). The latest model pick for Max Gawn is Under 21.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +19.5% on this pick. Their next game is Essendon Bombers vs Melbourne Demons on Saturday 13 June at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.