Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Mattaes Phillipou is Over 0.5 on Goals.
On the Goals market the model assigns a model win probability of 67%, versus the book's implied 64%, for a model edge of +3.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:16AM UTC
AFL
Mattaes Phillipou
St Kilda
Latest Model Pick
Goals
Over 0.5
-175 (1.57)
+3.2% Edge
St Kilda Saints
@
Melbourne Demons
TIO Traeger Park, Alice Springs, NT · Outdoor
Sun 1 Jun, 5:20AM
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Implied Probability
63.7%
Predicted Value
0.8 Goals
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Goals | 66.9% | — | 63.7% | 1.50 | +3.2% |
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Mattaes Phillipou (St Kilda) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-175)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Mattaes Phillipou is a solid choice to score anytime in the Melbourne vs. St Kilda matchup based on his recent form. With an average of 0.6 goals in his last five away games and an overall goal accuracy of 38.3%, Phillipou has been consistently involved in scoring opportunities. His average of 1.8 shots at goal and 4.2 score involvements further support his potential to find the back of the net. Additionally, facing an opponent against whom he has averaged 0 goals in the last five games provides a motivation factor for Phillipou to break that streak. Considering the model's prediction of 0.8 goals and a positive edge of 3.2%, betting on Phillipou to score anytime seems justified.
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Betting angles
Markets & formDisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted 14.5avg disposals recent
Season best26
Disposals last 10avg 14.5 · hi 26 · lo 4
Mattaes Phillipou has a disposals high of 26 in AFL.
GoalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
0.6avg goals recent
Season best1
Goals last 10avg 0.6 · hi 1 · lo 0
Mattaes Phillipou has a goals high of 1 in AFL.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
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Mattaes Phillipou (St Kilda) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Mattaes Phillipou is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.2% on this pick. Their next game is St Kilda Saints vs Melbourne Demons on Sunday 1 June at TIO Traeger Park, Alice Springs. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.
Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.