Massimo D'Ambrosio (Hawthorn) Over 14.5 Disposals (-244)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Massimo D'Ambrosio is poised to exceed 14.5 disposals in the upcoming Geelong Cats vs. Hawthorn Hawks clash based on his recent performances. With a model predicting him to reach 18.1 disposals and a solid 5.5% edge, D'Ambrosio's averages of 17.6 disposals in his last five away games and 17.2 overall further support this bet. His consistency is highlighted by hitting rates, boasting a 7/8 hit rate in away games and an impressive 14/15 overall. Additionally, his 2-game hit streak both away and overall signifies current form. With strong contested possessions, effective disposal efficiency at 70.0%, and a history of meeting or exceeding this line against the upcoming opponent, D'Ambrosio is poised to continue his reliable performance.