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AFL

Massimo D'Ambrosio

Hawthorn

+1.4% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 12.5 -588 (1.17)
+1.4% Edge
Sydney Swans @ Hawthorn Hawks
MCG, Melbourne
Thu 19 Mar, 8:30AM
Model Probability
86.8%
Implied Probability
85.5%
Model Edge
+1.4%
Predicted Value
18.1 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Massimo D'Ambrosio (Hawthorn) Over 12.5 Disposals (-588)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to Massimo D'Ambrosio smashing the Over 12.5 disposals line against the Sydney Swans at the MCG, the stats are shouting loud and clear. Over his last five home games, Massimo has been a disposal machine, averaging a whopping 19.6 possessions per match. Facing the Swans brings out the best in him too, with an average of 23 disposals in their recent encounters. His ability to find the footy is unmatched, blending contested prowess with a stellar disposal efficiency of 71.5%. With his recent form showing no signs of slowing down, Massimo is primed to dominate the midfield battle and snag a big bag of possessions in this crucial clash.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (5 picks) 80.0% (4/5)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
19 Mar 26 Sydney Swans @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals 12.5 Over -588 ✓ HIT
19 Mar 26 Sydney Swans @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals 13.5 Over -400 ✓ HIT
19 Mar 26 Sydney Swans @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals 14.5 Over -256 ✓ HIT
19 Sep 25 Hawthorn Hawks @ Geelong Cats Disposals — — — Pending
12 Sep 25 Hawthorn Hawks @ Adelaide Crows Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Massimo D'Ambrosio (Hawthorn) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 5 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 80.0% (4/5). The latest model pick for Massimo D'Ambrosio is Over 12.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.4% on this pick. Their next game is Sydney Swans vs Hawthorn Hawks on Thursday 19 March at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.