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The latest Bet Better model pick for Mason Cox is Over 1.5 on Marks.
On Marks, our numbers say this bet wins about 77 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 77%, implied 63%, edge +14.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 17, 1:32AM UTC
AFL

Mason Cox

Fremantle

+14.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Marks Over 1.5 -169 (1.59) · $100→$159
+14.2% Edge
Fremantle Dockers @ Sydney Swans
SCG, Sydney, NSW · Outdoor
Fri 18 Sep, 9:40AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 19°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
77 in 100
Predicted
3.1 Marks
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 77.1% · the book's price implies 62.9% · gap +14.2%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Marks77.1%—62.9%1.30+14.2%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games0/10

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AI Analysis

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Sydney Swans vs Fremantle Dockers: Mason Cox Over 1.5 Marks (-169)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

The Sydney Swans have been on a roll lately, winning 7 of their last 10 games and outscoring their opponents by over 26 points on average in their last 12 matches. They have a strong first half, scoring more than 57 points before halftime, which shows they can keep the pressure on early. Mason Cox seems to fit well into this exciting game plan, and betting on him to get over 1.5 marks looks promising. Fremantle also has a solid record, winning 7 of their last 10, but they average fewer points before halftime at 44.6. This could make it tougher for them to keep up with the Swans' fast pace. The main risk here is that both teams are in good form, making it harder to predict outcomes. Still, Cox has a great chance to shine in this matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Mason Cox's lines for Fri 18 Sep

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Marks 1.5
-159 best over price · 2 books

Mason Cox's marks line is 1.5, best over price -159 across 2 books.

Season averages (2024)

Mason Cox averaged 7.5 disposals, 0.4 goals and 2.9 marks per game across 16 games in 2024.

7.5
Disposals
0.4
Goals
2.9
Marks
1.9
Tackles

Hit-rate ladder: Disposals

Mason Cox has cleared 9.5 disposals in 20% of his last 10 games, with the hit rate easing as the line rises.

o9.520%
o10.50%
o11.50%
o12.50%
o13.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Mason Cox is averaging 6.6 disposals per game over his last 5.

6.6
Disp · Overall
0.4
Goals · Overall

Recent game log

In his most recent game (23 Aug 24 vs Melbourne), Mason Cox recorded 7 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
23 Aug 24Melbourne7021
17 Aug 24Brisbane Lions7043
9 Aug 24Sydney Swans8153
3 Aug 24Carlton4210
28 Jul 24Richmond11021
24 May 24Fremantle4022
18 May 24Adelaide Crows5013
12 May 24West Coast Eagles6030
3 May 24Carlton7131
25 Apr 24Essendon6031
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Mason Cox (Fremantle) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Mason Cox is Over 1.5 on Marks. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +14.2% on this pick. Their next game is Fremantle Dockers vs Sydney Swans on Friday 18 September at SCG, Sydney. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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