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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Logan Evans is Under 15.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 72%, versus the book's implied 56%, for a model edge of +16.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:15AM UTC
AFL

Logan Evans

Port Adelaide

+16.4% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Under 15.5 -125 (1.80)
+16.4% Edge
Essendon Bombers @ Port Adelaide Power
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide, SA · Outdoor
Sun 22 Mar, 4:15AM
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Model Probability
71.9%
Implied Probability
55.6%
Model Edge
+16.4%
Predicted Value
12.6 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals71.9%55.6%1.39+16.4%

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AI Analysis

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Logan Evans (Port Adelaide) Under 15.5 Disposals (-125)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Alright, footy fans, let's talk Logan Evans for a minute. The lad's been holding down the fort for Port Adelaide Power, but this weekend, the odds might not be in his favor against Essendon. Now, Logan's been putting up some solid numbers lately, snagging an average of 15.4 disposals in his last five home games. But here's the kicker – when facing off against Essendon specifically, he's only managing an average of 10 disposals. Sure, he's been efficient with a 77.2% disposal rate at home, but the Bombers seem to have his number. With a line set at 15.5 for Logan, the smart money might just be on the under. The stats don't lie, and sometimes it's better to play it safe when the numbers tell a clear story. So, keep an eye on Logan Evans this weekend and consider backing the under on his disposals.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
15.7avg disposals recent
Season best23
Disposals last 10avg 15.7 · hi 23 · lo 7
172213141682315227

Logan Evans has a disposals high of 23 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Logan Evans (Port Adelaide) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Logan Evans is Under 15.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +16.4% on this pick. Their next game is Essendon Bombers vs Port Adelaide Power on Sunday 22 March at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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