Logan Evans (Yartapuulti) Under 16.5 Disposals (-116)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Logan Evans is likely to go under 16.5 disposals as he averages 12.8 in his last five away games. With a model prediction of 13.7 and a standard deviation of 5, indicating consistency, Evans' recent form of 4 contested possessions and 9.8 kicks per game support this bet. Despite a hit streak of 4 away games, his overall disposals average of 14.8 suggests he may fall short. Fremantle's solid defense and playing away further strengthen the under bet. With an implied probability of 53.8% and a model edge of 17.7%, the odds are favorable for this wager on sportsbet.