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AFL

Logan Evans

Port Adelaide

Value call

Logan Evans (Port Adelaide) has one live pick today: under 15.5 disposals that pays $182 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
72 in 100
Predicted
12.6 disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 71.9% · the book's price implies 54.9% · gap +17.0%.

Latest Model PickFree
Essendon Bombers @ Port Adelaide Power
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide, SA · Outdoor
Sun 22 Mar, 3:15 PM AEDT
Logan Evans
under 15.5 disposals
Disposals Under 15.5 -122 (1.82) · $100→$182
Value call
HIGHWins about 72 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.20 Odds-122
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Logan Evans is Under 15.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 72 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 72%, the price says 55%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 12, 11:57PM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals71.9%—54.9%1.39+17.0%

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AI Analysis

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Logan Evans (Port Adelaide) Under 15.5 Disposals (-122)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Folks, let's talk about Logan Evans and why we're eyeing the 'Under 15.5 Disposals' prop for him in the clash between Port Adelaide and Essendon. The numbers paint a picture here. Over his last five home games, Logan's been solid, snagging an average of 15.4 disposals, just shy of the line. His recent form suggests he's hovering around that mark, not smashing it. Plus, against Essendon, he's averaged 10 disposals in his last five meetings, well below the line. With a trend of 6 out of 8 home games staying under 15.5 disposals, Logan seems to thrive more in other areas on his turf. The model's predicting 12.6, giving us a decent cushion. Confidence is high in Logan to excel in other facets, making the under a juicy play here. Let's back the data and watch Logan Evans split the middle with a tidy disposal count.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Logan Evans averaged 15.7 disposals, 0.2 goals and 5.5 marks per game across 13 games in 2024.

15.7
Disposals
0.2
Goals
5.5
Marks
1.6
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (20 Sep 24 vs Sydney Swans), Logan Evans recorded 7 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
20 Sep 24Sydney Swans7011
13 Sep 24Hawthorn22052
5 Sep 24Geelong Cats15041
25 Aug 24Fremantle23062
17 Aug 24Adelaide Crows8031
10 Aug 24Melbourne16051
3 Aug 24Sydney Swans14041
26 Jul 24Carlton13042
20 Jul 24Richmond22191
14 Jul 24Gold Coast SUNS17092
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
22 Mar 26 Essendon Bombers @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Logan Evans (Port Adelaide) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Logan Evans is Under 15.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +17.0% on this pick. Their next game is Essendon Bombers vs Port Adelaide Power on Sunday 22 March at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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