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AFL

Logan Evans

Port Adelaide

+17.0% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Under 15.5 -122 (1.82)
+17.0% Edge
Essendon Bombers @ Port Adelaide Power
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide
Sun 22 Mar, 4:15AM
Model Probability
71.9%
Implied Probability
54.9%
Model Edge
+17.0%
Predicted Value
12.6 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Logan Evans (Port Adelaide) Under 15.5 Disposals (-122)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Folks, let's talk about Logan Evans and why we're eyeing the 'Under 15.5 Disposals' prop for him in the clash between Port Adelaide and Essendon. The numbers paint a picture here. Over his last five home games, Logan's been solid, snagging an average of 15.4 disposals, just shy of the line. His recent form suggests he's hovering around that mark, not smashing it. Plus, against Essendon, he's averaged 10 disposals in his last five meetings, well below the line. With a trend of 6 out of 8 home games staying under 15.5 disposals, Logan seems to thrive more in other areas on his turf. The model's predicting 12.6, giving us a decent cushion. Confidence is high in Logan to excel in other facets, making the under a juicy play here. Let's back the data and watch Logan Evans split the middle with a tidy disposal count.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (2 picks) 0.0% (0/2)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
22 Mar 26 Essendon Bombers @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals 15.5 Under -122 ✗ MISS
24 May 25 Port Adelaide Power @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals 16.5 Under -116 ✗ MISS

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About This Player

Logan Evans (Port Adelaide) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 2 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 0.0% (0/2). The latest model pick for Logan Evans is Under 15.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +17.0% on this pick. Their next game is Essendon Bombers vs Port Adelaide Power on Sunday 22 March at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.