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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Lloyd Meek is Over 3.5 on Clearances.
On Clearances, our numbers say this bet wins about 55 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 55%, implied 60%, edge +4.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 30, 7:29PM UTC
AFL

Lloyd Meek

Hawthorn

+4.4% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Clearances Over 3.5 -152 (1.66) · $100→$166
+4.4% Edge
Hawthorn Hawks @ West Coast Eagles
Optus Stadium, Perth, WA · Outdoor
Sun 23 Aug, 9:20AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 15°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
GOOD confidence
How often this wins
65 in 100
Predicted
4.4 Clearances
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 64.7% · the book's price implies 60.2% · gap +4.4%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Clearances64.7%54.8%60.2%1.82+4.4%

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AI Analysis

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Lloyd Meek (Hawthorn) Over 3.5 player_clearances_over (-152)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Lloyd Meek, the towering ruckman for the Hawthorn Hawks, is primed to dominate the clearances in their clash against the West Coast Eagles at Optus Stadium. Meek has been a force to be reckoned with, boasting an average of 4.4 clearances per game, comfortably surpassing the 3.5 line set by the bookies. Despite being on the road, Meek has shown consistency in his ability to control the midfield battles, making him a reliable bet to exceed expectations. With a model edge of 4.4% and an implied probability of 60.2%, the numbers speak volumes about Meek's prowess in the clearance department. Expect him to bulldoze his way through the stoppages, giving the Hawks a crucial advantage in the midfield battle. Backing Meek to go over 3.5 clearances is not just a bet; it's a calculated move based on solid data and Meek's proven track record on the field.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Lloyd Meek averaged 14.5 disposals, 0.4 goals and 2.4 marks per game across 21 games in 2024.

14.5
Disposals
0.4
Goals
2.4
Marks
3.4
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (13 Sep 24 vs Port Adelaide), Lloyd Meek recorded 15 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
13 Sep 24Port Adelaide15031
6 Sep 24Western Bulldogs23165
24 Aug 24North Melbourne16031
18 Aug 24Richmond13034
11 Aug 24Carlton14114
4 Aug 24GWS GIANTS16044
28 Jul 24Adelaide Crows11016
20 Jul 24Collingwood13002
13 Jul 24Fremantle15034
6 Jul 24Geelong Cats13031
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
23 Aug 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ West Coast Eagles Clearances 3.5 Over -152 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Lloyd Meek (Hawthorn) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Lloyd Meek is Over 3.5 on Clearances. The model identifies a slight edge of +4.4% on this pick. Their next game is Hawthorn Hawks vs West Coast Eagles on Sunday 23 August at Optus Stadium, Perth. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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