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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Lloyd Meek is Over 10.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 60 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 60%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 20, 5:13AM UTC
AFL

Lloyd Meek

Hawthorn

Value call

Lloyd Meek (Hawthorn) has one live pick today: Disposals Over 10.5 that pays $188 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 10.5 -114 (1.88) · $100→$188
Value call
Brisbane Lions @ Hawthorn Hawks
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sat 19 Sep, 7:15AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 15°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
60 in 100
Predicted
12.8 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 60.3% · before adjusting for past results 70.2% · the book's price implies 53.2% · gap +7.1%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals70.2%60.3%53.2%1.96+17.0%

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AI Analysis

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Hawthorn Hawks vs Brisbane Lions: Lloyd Meek Over 10.5 Disposals (-114)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

The odds for Lloyd Meek to have over 10.5 disposals are looking pretty appealing at -114. Our numbers give this a good chance because he's been really accurate with his goal attempts lately, hitting about 50 out of 100, which is way better than most players. Plus, he's been getting a lot of targets, averaging 0.5 goals, and he seems to step up when the team is in the lead, with his stats showing a mark of 0.5 in that area. The biggest risk here is how close these two teams can play each other, which might limit opportunities. Still, if Meek keeps up his form, he should have a solid shot at hitting that over on disposals. It's not a guarantee, but the numbers are definitely in his favor.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Lloyd Meek averaged 14.5 disposals, 0.4 goals and 2.4 marks per game across 21 games in 2024.

14.5
Disposals
0.4
Goals
2.4
Marks
3.4
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (13 Sep 24 vs Port Adelaide), Lloyd Meek recorded 15 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
13 Sep 24Port Adelaide15031
6 Sep 24Western Bulldogs23165
24 Aug 24North Melbourne16031
18 Aug 24Richmond13034
11 Aug 24Carlton14114
4 Aug 24GWS GIANTS16044
28 Jul 24Adelaide Crows11016
20 Jul 24Collingwood13002
13 Jul 24Fremantle15034
6 Jul 24Geelong Cats13031
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
19 Sep 26 Brisbane Lions @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals 9.5 Over -189 ✓ HIT
23 Aug 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ West Coast Eagles Clearances 3.5 Over -152 ✓ HIT
19 Sep 26 Brisbane Lions @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals Pending
03 Sep 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals Pending

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About This Player

Lloyd Meek (Hawthorn) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Lloyd Meek is Over 10.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +17.0% on this pick. Their next game is Brisbane Lions vs Hawthorn Hawks on Saturday 19 September at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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