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The latest Bet Better model pick for Lance Collard is Over 0.5 on Goals.
On the Goals market the model assigns a model win probability of 52%, versus the book's implied 50%, for a model edge of +2.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 1:03PM UTC
AFL

Lance Collard

St Kilda

+2.7% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Goals Over 0.5 +102 (2.02)
+2.7% Edge
Melbourne Demons @ St Kilda Saints
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sun 27 Jul, 5:15AM
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Model Probability
52.2%
Implied Probability
49.5%
Model Edge
+2.7%
Predicted Value
0.5 Goals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Goals52.2%—49.5%1.92+2.7%

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AI Analysis

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Lance Collard (St Kilda) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (+102)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Lance Collard presents a promising opportunity to snag a goal in the upcoming St Kilda vs. Melbourne clash. Despite averaging 0.6 goals in his last five home games, his opponent-specific stats reveal an average of 0 goals against Melbourne. With his recent performance showing an uptick in shots at goal and score involvements, Collard's increased offensive involvement bodes well for him to capitalize on scoring opportunities. Considering his 20% goal accuracy at home and the relatively low line of 0.5, this bet aligns with his recent form and potential impact in this matchup. The model's prediction, coupled with his recent stats, suggest a favorable chance for Collard to contribute on the scoreboard.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
GoalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
0avg goals recent
Season best0
Goals last 3avg 0 · hi 0 · lo 0
000

Lance Collard has a goals high of 0 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Lance Collard (St Kilda) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Lance Collard is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.7% on this pick. Their next game is Melbourne Demons vs St Kilda Saints on Sunday 27 July at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

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