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AFL

Lance Collard

St Kilda

+2.7% Edge
Latest Pick
Goals Over 0.5 +102 (2.02)
+2.7% Edge
Melbourne Demons @ St Kilda Saints
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne
Sun 27 Jul, 5:15AM
Model Probability
52.2%
Implied Probability
49.5%
Model Edge
+2.7%
Predicted Value
0.5 Goals

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Lance Collard (St Kilda) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (+102)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Lance Collard presents a promising opportunity to snag a goal in the upcoming St Kilda vs. Melbourne clash. Despite averaging 0.6 goals in his last five home games, his opponent-specific stats reveal an average of 0 goals against Melbourne. With his recent performance showing an uptick in shots at goal and score involvements, Collard's increased offensive involvement bodes well for him to capitalize on scoring opportunities. Considering his 20% goal accuracy at home and the relatively low line of 0.5, this bet aligns with his recent form and potential impact in this matchup. The model's prediction, coupled with his recent stats, suggest a favorable chance for Collard to contribute on the scoreboard.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (1 picks) 100.0% (1/1)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
27 Jul 25 Melbourne Demons @ St Kilda Saints Goals 0.5 Over +102 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Lance Collard (St Kilda) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 1 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 100.0% (1/1). The latest model pick for Lance Collard is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.7% on this pick. Their next game is Melbourne Demons vs St Kilda Saints on Sunday 27 July at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.