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The latest Bet Better model pick for Lachie Jones is Over 9.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 73%, versus the book's implied 72%, for a model edge of +0.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 4:42PM UTC
AFL

Lachie Jones

Port Adelaide

+0.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 9.5 -263 (1.38)
+0.2% Edge
Port Adelaide Power @ Richmond Tigers
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sat 4 Apr, 5:15AM
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Model Probability
72.6%
Implied Probability
72.5%
Model Edge
+0.2%
Predicted Value
12.5 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals72.6%—72.5%1.38+0.2%

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AI Analysis

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Lachie Jones (Port Adelaide) Over 9.5 Disposals (-263)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to pinpointing a player poised to shine in the disposals department, Lachie Jones for Port Adelaide looks like a prime candidate to surpass the 9.5 disposals line against the Richmond Tigers. Jones has been a consistent force on the field, averaging 10.8 disposals in his last five away games. His recent form against the Tigers also bodes well, with an average of 11.7 disposals when facing them away. With his knack for contested possessions (3.6 avg) and solid disposal efficiency (68.6%), Jones is set to make an impact. Factor in his ability to gain meters (284.8 avg) and contribute defensively with intercepts (4.2 avg), and it's evident that Jones is primed to deliver for punters looking to ride his hot streak in this showdown at the MCG.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
9.9avg disposals recent
Season best17
Disposals last 10avg 9.9 · hi 16 · lo 4
1441114165771110

Lachie Jones has a disposals high of 17 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
04 Apr 26 Port Adelaide Power @ Richmond Tigers Disposals 9.5 Over -263 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Lachie Jones (Port Adelaide) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Lachie Jones is Over 9.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.2% on this pick. Their next game is Port Adelaide Power vs Richmond Tigers on Saturday 4 April at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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