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AFL

Kyle Langford

Essendon

Value call

Kyle Langford (Essendon) has one live pick today: over 0.5 goals that pays $180 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
72 in 100
Predicted
1.0 goals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 72.5% · the book's price implies 55.6% · gap +16.9%.

Latest Model PickFree
Melbourne Demons @ Essendon Bombers
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide, SA · Outdoor
Sat 11 Apr, 1:15 PM AEST
Kyle Langford
over 0.5 goals
Goals Over 0.5 -125 (1.80) · $100→$180
Value call
HIGHWins about 72 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.00 Odds-125
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Kyle Langford is Over 0.5 on Goals.
On Goals, our numbers say this bet wins about 72 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 72%, the price says 56%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 26, 4:04PM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 19°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Goals72.5%—55.6%1.38+16.9%

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AI Analysis

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Kyle Langford (Essendon) Over 0.5 Goals (-125)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Alright, folks, let's talk Kyle Langford. This Saturday, when Essendon hosts Melbourne, Langford is poised to light up the Adelaide Oval. Over his last five home games, he's been buzzing around the forward line, averaging 1.6 shots at goal and 2.6 inside 50s per game. His goal accuracy sits at a respectable 40%, and with an average of 0.6 goals per home game, he's been a real threat in front of the big sticks. Facing Melbourne, he's even more lethal, averaging a tidy 1 goal per game in their recent encounters. Langford's recent form, combined with his knack for finding the goals, makes him a solid bet to snag at least one goal on Saturday. So, when it comes to Langford hitting Over 0.5 goals, the numbers are shouting, "Back this man!"

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Kyle Langford averaged 12.6 disposals, 1.9 goals and 5.2 marks per game across 23 games in 2024.

12.6
Disposals
1.9
Goals
5.2
Marks
2.6
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (24 Aug 24 vs Brisbane Lions), Kyle Langford recorded 25 disposals and 3 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
24 Aug 24Brisbane Lions253105
16 Aug 24Sydney Swans14122
10 Aug 24Gold Coast SUNS12025
4 Aug 24Fremantle14253
27 Jul 24St Kilda8050
19 Jul 24Adelaide Crows222123
13 Jul 24Melbourne15252
5 Jul 24Collingwood15282
29 Jun 24Geelong Cats10154
23 Jun 24West Coast Eagles7232
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
22 Mar 26 Essendon Bombers @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals 9.5 Over -204 ✓ HIT
11 Apr 26 Melbourne Demons @ Essendon Bombers Goals — — — Pending
05 Apr 26 Essendon Bombers @ Western Bulldogs Goals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Kyle Langford (Essendon) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Kyle Langford is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +16.9% on this pick. Their next game is Melbourne Demons vs Essendon Bombers on Saturday 11 April at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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