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The latest Bet Better model pick for Kane Farrell is Over 15.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 88%, versus the book's implied 80%, for a model edge of +7.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 1:04PM UTC
AFL

Kane Farrell

Port Adelaide

+7.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 15.5 -400 (1.25)
+7.6% Edge
Sydney Swans @ Port Adelaide Power
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide, SA · Outdoor
Sat 13 Jun, 9:35AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
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Model Probability
87.6%
Implied Probability
80.0%
Model Edge
+7.6%
Predicted Value
21.3 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals87.6%—80.0%1.14+7.6%

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AI Analysis

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Kane Farrell (Port Adelaide) Over 15.5 Disposals (-400)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing Kane Farrell to go Over 15.5 disposals against the Sydney Swans at Adelaide Oval, the numbers paint a compelling picture. In his last five home games, Farrell has been a midfield maestro, averaging a solid 21.8 disposals. His pinpoint efficiency at 83.9% ensures he makes every possession count, while his average of 17.8 kicks per game showcases his ability to drive the Power forward. Facing the Swans, Farrell has historically stepped up, averaging 18.5 disposals in their recent encounters. With a current hit streak at home and an impressive overall hit rate, Farrell is poised to continue his form and provide a solid return for punters looking to back him to surpass the 15.5 disposals mark.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 3 of last 3(100%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
20.5avg disposals recent
Season best30
Disposals last 10avg 20.5 · hi 30 · lo 11
30242517271625171113

Kane Farrell has a disposals high of 30 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
13 Jun 26 Sydney Swans @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals 15.5 Over -400 ✓ HIT
13 Jun 26 Sydney Swans @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals 14.5 Over -625 ✓ HIT
13 Jun 26 Sydney Swans @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals 13.5 Over -833 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Kane Farrell (Port Adelaide) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Kane Farrell is Over 15.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +7.6% on this pick. Their next game is Sydney Swans vs Port Adelaide Power on Saturday 13 June at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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