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The latest Bet Better model pick for Kane Farrell is Over 15.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 88 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 88%, implied 78%, edge +9.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 1, 5:59PM UTC
AFL

Kane Farrell

Port Adelaide

+9.5% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 15.5 -357 (1.28) · $100→$128
+9.5% Edge
Sydney Swans @ Port Adelaide Power
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide, SA · Outdoor
Sat 13 Jun, 9:35AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 18°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
88 in 100
Predicted
21.3 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 87.6% · the book's price implies 78.1% · gap +9.5%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals87.6%—78.1%1.14+9.5%

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AI Analysis

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Kane Farrell (Port Adelaide) Over 15.5 Disposals (-357)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to reliable ball-winners, Kane Farrell stands out as a prime candidate for a big game in the disposals department against the Sydney Swans at Adelaide Oval. Farrell has been a consistent force in recent home games, averaging a hefty 21.8 disposals per match, well above the 15.5 mark set for this matchup. With a robust 83.9% disposal efficiency and a penchant for gaining meters, Farrell has been a linchpin in Port Adelaide's midfield. Moreover, Farrell's recent form against the Swans has been impressive, averaging 18.5 disposals in his last five encounters with them. Combine that with his current hit streak at home and an overall hit rate of 18/20, and it's clear that Farrell is primed to not just meet but exceed the 15.5 disposal line. Bet confidently on Farrell to rack up the possessions and drive your wager home.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 3 of last 3(100%)

Season averages (2024)

Kane Farrell averaged 19.3 disposals, 0.3 goals and 5.0 marks per game across 22 games in 2024.

19.3
Disposals
0.3
Goals
5.0
Marks
2.5
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (25 Aug 24 vs Fremantle), Kane Farrell recorded 13 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
25 Aug 24Fremantle13042
17 Aug 24Adelaide Crows11025
10 Aug 24Melbourne17074
3 Aug 24Sydney Swans25052
26 Jul 24Carlton16141
14 Jul 24Gold Coast SUNS27081
6 Jul 24Western Bulldogs17023
30 Jun 24St Kilda25065
22 Jun 24Brisbane Lions24052
16 Jun 24GWS GIANTS30060
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
13 Jun 26 Sydney Swans @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals 15.5 Over -357 ✓ HIT
13 Jun 26 Sydney Swans @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals 14.5 Over -625 ✓ HIT
13 Jun 26 Sydney Swans @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals 13.5 Over -833 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Kane Farrell (Port Adelaide) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Kane Farrell is Over 15.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +9.5% on this pick. Their next game is Sydney Swans vs Port Adelaide Power on Saturday 13 June at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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