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The latest Bet Better model pick for Kai Lohmann is Over 0.5 on Goals.
On Goals, our numbers say this bet wins about 88 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 88%, the price says 88%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 20, 8:59AM UTC
AFL

Kai Lohmann

Brisbane Lions

Value call

Kai Lohmann (Brisbane Lions) has one live pick today: Goals Over 0.5 that pays $114 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -714 (1.14) · $100→$114
Value call
Brisbane Lions @ Fremantle Dockers
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sat 26 Sep, 4:30AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 25°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
88 in 100
Predicted
1.7 Goals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 87.8% · the book's price implies 87.7% · gap +0.0%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Goals87.8%—87.7%1.14+0.0%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games6/10

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AI Analysis

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Fremantle Dockers vs Brisbane Lions: Kai Lohmann Over 0.5 Goals (-714)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

The odds for Kai Lohmann to score at least one goal are looking good. Both Fremantle and Brisbane Lions have shown they can rack up points, with Brisbane averaging nearly 50 points before half-time in their last 12 games. Lohmann is part of a strong Lions attack that has been scoring well, and our numbers think he has a solid chance to find the net. However, Fremantle has also been performing well, winning 7 of their last 10 matches and showing they can keep things close. This could mean Lohmann faces tough competition. Still, with both teams scoring heavily lately, the chances of him getting on the scoreboard look promising.

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Pick History & Track Record

Kai Lohmann's lines for Sat 26 Sep

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Goals 0.5
How many disposals does Kai Lohmann average?

Kai Lohmann's goals line is 0.5.

Disposals 9.5
How many disposals does Kai Lohmann average?

Kai Lohmann's disposals line is 9.5.

Disposals 10.5
How many disposals does Kai Lohmann average?

Kai Lohmann's disposals line is 10.5.

Season averages (2024)

Kai Lohmann averaged 11.6 disposals, 1.3 goals and 3.9 marks per game across 27 games in 2024.

11.6
Disposals
1.3
Goals
3.9
Marks
3.0
Tackles

Hit-rate ladder: Disposals

Kai Lohmann has cleared 9.5 disposals in 80% of his last 10 games, with the hit rate easing as the line rises.

o9.580%
o10.580%
o11.560%
o12.560%
o13.540%
o14.540%
o15.540%
o16.540%
o17.530%
o18.510%
o19.50%
o20.510%

Home / away and opponent splits

Kai Lohmann is averaging 12.8 disposals per game over his last 5 and 13.2 in away games.

12.8
Disp · Overall
13.2
Disp · Away
1.4
Goals · Overall
2.2
Goals · Away

Recent game log

In his most recent game (28 Sep 24 vs Sydney Swans), Kai Lohmann recorded 15 disposals and 4 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
28 Sep 24Sydney Swans15454
21 Sep 24Geelong Cats16143
14 Sep 24GWS GIANTS9233
7 Sep 24Carlton11252
24 Aug 24Essendon14343
17 Aug 24Collingwood12252
10 Aug 24GWS GIANTS13044
4 Aug 24St Kilda14058
27 Jul 24Gold Coast SUNS14122
21 Jul 24Sydney Swans14052
Quick answers:How many disposals does Kai Lohmann average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
19 Sep 26 Brisbane Lions @ Hawthorn Hawks Marks 2.5 Over -250 ✓ HIT
19 Sep 26 Brisbane Lions @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals 9.5 Over -357 ✓ HIT
19 Sep 26 Brisbane Lions @ Hawthorn Hawks Goals 0.5 Over -526 ✓ HIT
19 Sep 26 Brisbane Lions @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals — — — Pending
12 Sep 26 Adelaide Crows @ Brisbane Lions Disposals — — — Pending
12 Sep 26 Adelaide Crows @ Brisbane Lions Goals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Kai Lohmann (Brisbane Lions) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Kai Lohmann is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.0% on this pick. Their next game is Brisbane Lions vs Fremantle Dockers on Saturday 26 September at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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