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The latest Bet Better model pick for Kai Lohmann is Over 0.5 on Goals.
On the Goals market the model assigns a model win probability of 86%, versus the book's implied 68%, for a model edge of +17.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 2:05PM UTC
AFL

Kai Lohmann

Brisbane Lions

+17.8% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -217 (1.46)
+17.8% Edge
Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats
GMHBA Stadium, Geelong, VIC · Outdoor
Thu 2 Jul, 9:30AM
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Model Probability
86.3%
Implied Probability
68.5%
Model Edge
+17.8%
Predicted Value
1.4 Goals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Goals86.3%—68.5%1.16+17.8%

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AI Analysis

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Kai Lohmann (Brisbane Lions) Over 0.5 Goals (-217)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to finding a player who knows how to snag a goal, Kai Lohmann from the Brisbane Lions is your man. Lohmann has been on fire lately, averaging an impressive 1.8 goals in his last five away games. His accuracy in front of the big sticks sits at a solid 58.3%, showcasing his ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities. Moreover, Lohmann is not just a finisher but a key playmaker too, with an average of 6.2 score involvements per game. Facing Geelong Cats, a team he's been consistent against with 1.8 goals in their recent matchups, Lohmann is poised to keep his scoring streak alive. With his current form and track record, betting on Lohmann to kick over 0.5 goals in this clash is a smart move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
GoalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
1.5avg goals recent
Season best5
Goals last 10avg 1.5 · hi 4 · lo 0
0100232214

Kai Lohmann has a goals high of 5 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
02 Jul 26 Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats Goals 0.5 Over -217 ✓ HIT
14 Jun 26 Brisbane Lions @ Richmond Tigers Goals 0.5 Over -588 ✗ MISS

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About This Player

Kai Lohmann (Brisbane Lions) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Kai Lohmann is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +17.8% on this pick. Their next game is Brisbane Lions vs Geelong Cats on Thursday 2 July at GMHBA Stadium, Geelong. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

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