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The latest Bet Better model pick for Kai Lohmann is Over 0.5 on Goals.
On Goals, our numbers say this bet wins about 86 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 86%, implied 68%, edge +17.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 30, 10:57PM UTC
AFL

Kai Lohmann

Brisbane Lions

+17.8% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -217 (1.46) · $100→$146
+17.8% Edge
Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats
GMHBA Stadium, Geelong, VIC · Outdoor
Thu 2 Jul, 9:30AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 25°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
86 in 100
Predicted
1.4 Goals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 86.3% · the book's price implies 68.5% · gap +17.8%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Goals86.3%—68.5%1.16+17.8%

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AI Analysis

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Kai Lohmann (Brisbane Lions) Over 0.5 Goals (-217)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to finding a player who knows how to snag a goal, Kai Lohmann from the Brisbane Lions is your man. Lohmann has been on fire lately, averaging an impressive 1.8 goals in his last five away games. His accuracy in front of the big sticks sits at a solid 58.3%, showcasing his ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities. Moreover, Lohmann is not just a finisher but a key playmaker too, with an average of 6.2 score involvements per game. Facing Geelong Cats, a team he's been consistent against with 1.8 goals in their recent matchups, Lohmann is poised to keep his scoring streak alive. With his current form and track record, betting on Lohmann to kick over 0.5 goals in this clash is a smart move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Kai Lohmann averaged 11.6 disposals, 1.3 goals and 3.9 marks per game across 27 games in 2024.

11.6
Disposals
1.3
Goals
3.9
Marks
3.0
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (28 Sep 24 vs Sydney Swans), Kai Lohmann recorded 15 disposals and 4 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
28 Sep 24Sydney Swans15454
21 Sep 24Geelong Cats16143
14 Sep 24GWS GIANTS9233
7 Sep 24Carlton11252
24 Aug 24Essendon14343
17 Aug 24Collingwood12252
10 Aug 24GWS GIANTS13044
4 Aug 24St Kilda14058
27 Jul 24Gold Coast SUNS14122
21 Jul 24Sydney Swans14052
Quick answers:How many disposals does Kai Lohmann average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
02 Jul 26 Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats Goals 0.5 Over -217 ✓ HIT
14 Jun 26 Brisbane Lions @ Richmond Tigers Goals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Kai Lohmann (Brisbane Lions) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Kai Lohmann is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +17.8% on this pick. Their next game is Brisbane Lions vs Geelong Cats on Thursday 2 July at GMHBA Stadium, Geelong. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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