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AFL

Josh Dunkley

Brisbane Lions

+5.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 17.5 -714 (1.14)
+5.6% Edge
Brisbane Lions @ Melbourne Demons
MCG, Melbourne
Sun 19 Apr, 5:15AM
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
93.3%
Implied Probability
87.7%
Model Edge
+5.6%
Predicted Value
25.0 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Josh Dunkley (Brisbane Lions) Over 17.5 Disposals (-714)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to dependable midfielders, Josh Dunkley shines bright. His recent away form indicates a hunger for the ball, averaging 18.8 disposals per game. Facing Melbourne, where he's historically gathered an impressive 28 disposals on average, Dunkley's poised to dominate the contested possessions battle. With a solid disposal efficiency of 63.8% on the road and a knack for gaining crucial metres, he's a key playmaker. Despite a turnover average of 3, his knack for intercepts and solid uncontested possession rate of 9.8 per game signal his versatility. Dunkley's ability to impact the game on multiple fronts makes the Over 17.5 disposals a smart bet. Expect him to thrive in the hostile MCG environment and surpass this mark comfortably.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (10 picks) 60.0% (6/10)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
19 Apr 26 Brisbane Lions @ Melbourne Demons Disposals 17.5 Over -714 ✓ HIT
19 Apr 26 Brisbane Lions @ Melbourne Demons Disposals 18.5 Over -500 ✓ HIT
19 Apr 26 Brisbane Lions @ Melbourne Demons Disposals 19.5 Over -333 ✓ HIT
19 Apr 26 Brisbane Lions @ Melbourne Demons Disposals — — — Pending
19 Apr 26 Brisbane Lions @ Melbourne Demons Disposals — — — Pending
11 Apr 26 Brisbane Lions @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Josh Dunkley (Brisbane Lions) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 10 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 60.0% (6/10). The latest model pick for Josh Dunkley is Over 17.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +5.6% on this pick. Their next game is Brisbane Lions vs Melbourne Demons on Sunday 19 April at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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