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AFL

Josh Dunkley

Brisbane Lions

+5.6% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 17.5 -714 (1.14)
+5.6% Edge
Brisbane Lions @ North Melbourne Kangaroos
Barossa Park, Lyndoch
Sat 11 Apr, 2:35AM
Model Probability
93.3%
Implied Probability
87.7%
Model Edge
+5.6%
Predicted Value
25.0 Disposals

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Josh Dunkley (Brisbane Lions) Over 17.5 Disposals (-714)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to locking in an AFL player prop bet, Josh Dunkley stands out as the prime target for hitting Over 17.5 disposals against North Melbourne. Dunkley's recent form paints a picture of consistency and impact. In his last five away games, he's been averaging a commendable 22.2 disposals, well above the set line. What's more, his disposal efficiency of 62.8% and ability to gain 203.6 meters on average per game highlight his playmaking prowess. Facing off against North Melbourne, Dunkley has a history of performing even better, averaging 27.7 disposals in their recent encounters. With a current hit streak of four games and an impressive overall hit rate, Dunkley's poised to continue his midfield dominance. So, if you're eyeing a solid bet with a high probability of success, backing Dunkley to surpass 17.5 disposals is a move that aligns with his recent stellar performances.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (11 picks) 81.8% (9/11)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
28 Mar 26 Brisbane Lions @ St Kilda Saints Disposals 17.5 Over -714 ✓ HIT
28 Mar 26 Brisbane Lions @ St Kilda Saints Disposals 18.5 Over -500 ✓ HIT
28 Mar 26 Brisbane Lions @ St Kilda Saints Disposals 19.5 Over -333 ✓ HIT
28 Mar 26 Brisbane Lions @ St Kilda Saints Disposals Pending
28 Mar 26 Brisbane Lions @ St Kilda Saints Disposals Pending
14 Mar 26 Brisbane Lions @ Sydney Swans Disposals Pending

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About This Player

Josh Dunkley (Brisbane Lions) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 11 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 81.8% (9/11). The latest model pick for Josh Dunkley is Over 17.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +5.6% on this pick. Their next game is Brisbane Lions vs North Melbourne Kangaroos on Saturday 11 April at Barossa Park, Lyndoch. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.