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AFL

Jonty Faull

Richmond

+0.5% Edge
Latest Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -385 (1.26)
+0.5% Edge
Port Adelaide Power @ Richmond Tigers
MCG, Melbourne
Sat 4 Apr, 5:15AM
Model Probability
79.9%
Implied Probability
79.4%
Model Edge
+0.5%
Predicted Value
1.2 Goals

AI Analysis

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Jonty Faull (Richmond) Over 0.5 Goals (-385)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Looking at the upcoming clash between the Richmond Tigers and the Port Adelaide Power, all eyes are on the sharpshooter Jonty Faull. Despite a recent dip in goal-scoring form, Faull's hunger to hit the scoreboard is undeniable. In his last five home games, he's been knocking on the door consistently, averaging 1.8 shots at goal and 1.2 marks inside 50. While he's been a touch inaccurate, with a goal accuracy of 16.7%, his involvement in the Tigers' scoring plays has been solid, with an average of 3 score involvements per game. With the home advantage at the MCG and facing a tough Port Adelaide defense, Faull is poised to capitalize on his opportunities and snag at least one goal, making the Over 0.5 goals for Jonty Faull a compelling bet for this matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (8 picks) 62.5% (5/8)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
04 Apr 26 Port Adelaide Power @ Richmond Tigers Goals 0.5 Over -385 ✗ MISS
28 Mar 26 Richmond Tigers @ Fremantle Dockers Goals 0.5 Over -159 ✓ HIT
12 Mar 26 Richmond Tigers @ Carlton Blues Goals 0.5 Over -175 ✓ HIT
02 Aug 25 Richmond Tigers @ Gold Coast Suns Goals — — — Pending
27 Jul 25 Collingwood Magpies @ Richmond Tigers Goals — — — Pending
19 Jul 25 Richmond Tigers @ West Coast Eagles Goals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Jonty Faull (Richmond) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 8 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 62.5% (5/8). The latest model pick for Jonty Faull is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.5% on this pick. Their next game is Port Adelaide Power vs Richmond Tigers on Saturday 4 April at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.