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AFL

Jonty Faull

Richmond

+16.2% Edge
Latest Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -175 (1.57)
+16.2% Edge
Richmond Tigers @ North Melbourne Kangaroos
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne
Sun 19 Apr, 3:10AM
Model Probability
79.9%
Implied Probability
63.7%
Model Edge
+16.2%
Predicted Value
1.2 Goals

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Jonty Faull (Richmond) Over 0.5 Goals (-175)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to finding a player who could snag a goal in this upcoming clash between North Melbourne and Richmond, Jonty Faull stands out as a sneaky bet. Sure, his last five games haven't been dazzling in terms of goal-scoring, averaging only 0.6 goals, but hear me out. Faull's recent form shows promise with an average of 2.2 shots at goal per game, indicating he's getting his chances. Plus, facing North Melbourne, a team he hasn't scored against in his last five outings, could ignite his hunger to finally split the middle. His goal accuracy might be hovering at 14.7% in away games, but with the right opportunities and a bit of luck, Faull could easily exceed the 0.5 goal line. Keep your eyes on this under-the-radar forward to make a meaningful impact on the scoreboard come game day.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (6 picks) 66.7% (4/6)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
12 Apr 26 Richmond Tigers @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Goals 0.5 Over -222 ✓ HIT
04 Apr 26 Port Adelaide Power @ Richmond Tigers Goals 0.5 Over -385 ✗ MISS
28 Mar 26 Richmond Tigers @ Fremantle Dockers Goals 0.5 Over -159 ✓ HIT
12 Mar 26 Richmond Tigers @ Carlton Blues Goals — — — Pending
02 Aug 25 Richmond Tigers @ Gold Coast Suns Goals — — — Pending
27 Jul 25 Collingwood Magpies @ Richmond Tigers Goals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Jonty Faull (Richmond) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 6 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 66.7% (4/6). The latest model pick for Jonty Faull is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +16.2% on this pick. Their next game is Richmond Tigers vs North Melbourne Kangaroos on Sunday 19 April at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.