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The latest Bet Better model pick for Jhye Clark is Under 12.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 74%, versus the book's implied 54%, for a model edge of +19.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 2:06PM UTC
AFL

Jhye Clark

Geelong Cats

+19.7% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Under 12.5 -118 (1.85)
+19.7% Edge
Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sat 27 Sep, 4:30AM
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Model Probability
73.7%
Implied Probability
54.1%
Model Edge
+19.7%
Predicted Value
9.3 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals73.7%—54.1%1.36+19.7%

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AI Analysis

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Jhye Clark (Geelong Cats) Under 12.5 Disposals (-118)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Jhye Clark is poised to stay under 12.5 disposals against the Brisbane Lions at the MCG based on his recent form. With a model prediction of 9.3 disposals and a strong 19.7% edge, Clark's averages of 5.8 disposals in his last five home games and 7.2 overall suggest he may struggle to reach the 12.5 line. Additionally, his turnovers average of 1.4 and lower contested possession rate at home could hinder his disposals count. Despite a solid hit rate of 4/5 in home games, his overall hit rate of 6/7 still supports the under bet, making it a statistically-driven choice.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
12.8avg disposals recent
Season best20
Disposals last 10avg 12.8 · hi 20 · lo 5
51411515162081816

Jhye Clark has a disposals high of 20 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Jhye Clark (Geelong Cats) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jhye Clark is Under 12.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +19.7% on this pick. Their next game is Brisbane Lions vs Geelong Cats on Saturday 27 September at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

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