Jhye Clark (Geelong Cats) Under 12.5 Disposals (-123)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Jhye Clark is poised to stay under 12.5 disposals against the Brisbane Lions at the MCG based on his recent form and matchup history. With a model prediction of 9.3 disposals and a 18.5% edge, Clark's L5 stats, including averaging 5.8 disposals in home games, support this bet. His recent performances against the Lions, averaging just 1 disposal in the last 5 matchups, further reinforce this pick. Despite solid overall stats, his inconsistency in contested possessions (2.2) and turnovers (1.4) suggest he may struggle to reach the line. With a strong 76.7% disposal efficiency but limited uncontested possessions, Clark is likely to fall short of the 12.5 mark.