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AFL

Jaxon Prior

Essendon

+8.7% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 10.5 -357 (1.28)
+8.7% Edge
Essendon Bombers @ Port Adelaide Power
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide
Sun 22 Mar, 4:15AM
Model Probability
86.8%
Implied Probability
78.1%
Model Edge
+8.7%
Predicted Value
16.1 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Jaxon Prior (Essendon) Over 10.5 Disposals (-357)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player prop bet in the AFL, Jaxon Prior for the Essendon Bombers is flashing some serious potential in the 'Player Disposals Over/Under' market. Heading into the clash against Port Adelaide Power, Prior's recent form is nothing short of impressive. Over his last five away games, he's been a consistent force on the field, averaging 15 disposals with a stellar disposal efficiency of 83.9%. In his previous encounters with Port Adelaide, he's shown an uptick in his disposal numbers, averaging 2 more disposals per game compared to his overall average of 14.8. With a current hit streak of 8 successful outcomes in away games, Prior seems poised to maintain his momentum and surpass the 10.5 disposals line set by the bookmakers. Betting on Prior to make an impact with his ball-winning abilities could be a smart move considering his recent form and historical performance against Port Adelaide.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (4 picks) 100.0% (4/4)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
22 Mar 26 Essendon Bombers @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals 10.5 Over -357 ✓ HIT
22 Mar 26 Essendon Bombers @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals 11.5 Over -244 ✓ HIT
22 Mar 26 Essendon Bombers @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals 12.5 Over -164 ✓ HIT
22 Mar 26 Essendon Bombers @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Jaxon Prior (Essendon) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 4 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 100.0% (4/4). The latest model pick for Jaxon Prior is Over 10.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +8.7% on this pick. Their next game is Essendon Bombers vs Port Adelaide Power on Sunday 22 March at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.