Jaxon Prior (Essendon) Over 10.5 Disposals (-357)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Looking at Jaxon Prior's recent form at home for the Essendon Bombers, it's clear he's been in fine touch. Averaging 14 disposals over his last five home games, including an impressive 86.6% disposal efficiency, Prior has been a key ball-mover in the Bombers' midfield. Facing the Hawthorn Hawks, who he's averaged 9.7 disposals against in their last encounters, Prior is poised to exploit this matchup. With a current hit streak of 8 at home and 6 overall, he's consistently delivering on the field. The model predicting him at 16.1 disposals, well above the line of 10.5, indicates a strong probability of success. Backing Prior to surpass 10.5 disposals in this game seems like a solid bet given his recent form and the matchup dynamics.