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AFL

James Worpel

Geelong Cats

+1.7% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 14.5 -769 (1.13)
+1.7% Edge
Western Bulldogs @ Geelong Cats
GMHBA Stadium, Geelong
Fri 17 Apr, 9:20AM
Model Probability
90.2%
Implied Probability
88.5%
Model Edge
+1.7%
Predicted Value
21.0 Disposals

AI Analysis

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James Worpel (Geelong Cats) Over 14.5 Disposals (-769)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player prop bet, you want consistency and impact, and James Worpel of the Geelong Cats embodies just that. Worpel's recent form is nothing short of impressive, with an average of 22.2 disposals in his last five home games. Facing the Western Bulldogs, a team he's historically tallied 25 disposals against, the stage is set for Worpel to shine. With a solid contested possessions average of 11.2 and a knack for gaining significant meters (323.2 on average), he's a pivotal figure in Geelong's midfield. Factor in Worpel's exceptional disposal efficiency of 63.8% and a track record of maintaining possession (turnover avg: 5.2), and you have a player who not only finds the ball but uses it effectively. With a current hit streak of 15 at home and 8 overall, backing Worpel to surpass 14.5 disposals is a smart play in what promises to be a closely contested match at GMHBA Stadium.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (1 picks) 100.0% (1/1)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
06 Mar 26 Geelong Cats @ Gold Coast Suns Disposals 21.5 Under -105 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

James Worpel (Geelong Cats) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 1 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 100.0% (1/1). The latest model pick for James Worpel is Over 14.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.7% on this pick. Their next game is Western Bulldogs vs Geelong Cats on Friday 17 April at GMHBA Stadium, Geelong. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.