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AFL

James Worpel

Hawthorn

+2.8% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Under 21.5 -105 (1.95)
+2.8% Edge
Geelong Cats @ Gold Coast Suns
People First Stadium, Gold Coast
Fri 6 Mar, 9:05AM
Model Probability
54.1%
Implied Probability
51.3%
Model Edge
+2.8%
Predicted Value
21.0 Disposals

AI Analysis

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James Worpel (Hawthorn) Under 21.5 Disposals (-105)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to pinpointing a player prop bet that screams value, James Worpel's under 21.5 disposals against the Gold Coast Suns is a prime candidate. Worpel, a force to be reckoned with on the field, has been averaging 18.6 disposals in his last five away games. Despite facing the Suns in his recent matchups, where he's tallied an average of 20.7 disposals, his overall disposals average stands at 21.4. Couple that with his recent form showing a hit rate of 7 out of 10 in away games and a solid contested possessions average of 8.6, and you've got a strong case for him to fall short of the 21.5 mark. The data points to a strategic play on Worpel to go under, making this bet a tantalizing prospect for punters looking to snag a win on the AFL action.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (2 picks) 50.0% (1/2)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
06 Mar 26 Geelong Cats @ Gold Coast Suns Disposals 21.5 Under -105 ✓ HIT
06 Mar 26 Geelong Cats @ Gold Coast Suns Disposals 21.5 Under -105 ✗ MISS

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