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The latest Bet Better model pick for James O'Donnell is Over 2.5 on Marks.
On Marks, our numbers say this bet wins about 90 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 90%, implied 89%, edge +0.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 26, 3:52AM UTC
AFL

James O'Donnell

Western Bulldogs

+0.5% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Marks Over 2.5 -833 (1.12) · $100→$112
+0.5% Edge
Collingwood Magpies @ Western Bulldogs
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Fri 28 Aug, 9:40AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 14°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
90 in 100
Predicted
5.5 Marks
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 89.7% · the book's price implies 89.3% · gap +0.5%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Marks89.7%—89.3%1.11+0.5%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games3/5
Last 10 games5/10

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AI Analysis

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James O'Donnell (Western Bulldogs) Over 2.5 player_marks_over (-833)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to snagging marks, James O'Donnell is a force to be reckoned with. The upcoming clash between the Western Bulldogs and Collingwood Magpies at the iconic MCG sets the stage for O'Donnell to shine. In his last five home games, he's been averaging a solid 5.6 marks, showcasing his aerial dominance. Against Collingwood specifically, he's been hauling in an average of 3.7 marks, proving he can perform against this opposition. With a line set at 2.5 marks, the stats paint a clear picture of O'Donnell surpassing this mark comfortably. Given his recent form and the matchup dynamics, the Over 2.5 marks for James O'Donnell is a bet that not only aligns with the numbers but also with the narrative of his impact in the game.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

James O'Donnell averaged 11.2 disposals, 0.1 goals and 4.4 marks per game across 14 games in 2024.

11.2
Disposals
0.1
Goals
4.4
Marks
1.0
Tackles

Hit-rate ladder: Disposals

James O'Donnell has cleared 9.5 disposals in 50% of his last 10 games, with the hit rate easing as the line rises.

o9.550%
o10.550%
o11.540%
o12.540%
o13.540%
o14.530%
o15.510%
o16.50%
o17.50%
o18.50%
o19.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

James O'Donnell is averaging 11.4 disposals per game over his last 5.

11.4
Disp · Overall
0.0
Goals · Overall

Recent game log

In his most recent game (6 Sep 24 vs Hawthorn), James O'Donnell recorded 11 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
6 Sep 24Hawthorn11051
25 Aug 24GWS GIANTS11022
18 Aug 24North Melbourne17090
6 Jul 24Port Adelaide3001
29 Jun 24North Melbourne9052
15 Jun 24Fremantle15062
7 Jun 24Brisbane Lions8240
31 May 24Collingwood11071
18 May 24GWS GIANTS9032
11 May 24Richmond21053
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

James O'Donnell (Western Bulldogs) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for James O'Donnell is Over 2.5 on Marks. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.5% on this pick. Their next game is Collingwood Magpies vs Western Bulldogs on Friday 28 August at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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