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AFL

James O'Donnell

Western Bulldogs

Value call

James O'Donnell (Western Bulldogs) has one live pick today: over 3.5 marks that pays $133 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
65 in 100
Predicted
5.2 marks
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 65.3% · before adjusting for past results 77.6% · the book's price implies 75.2% · gap -9.9%.

Latest Model PickFree
Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide, SA · Outdoor
Sat 5 Sep, 7:35 PM AEST
James O'Donnell
over 3.5 marks
Marks Over 3.5 -303 (1.33) · $100→$133
Value call
HIGHWins about 65 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$13.30 Odds-303
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for James O'Donnell is Over 3.5 on Marks.
On Marks, our numbers say this bet wins about 65 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 65%, the price says 75%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 9, 11:32AM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 14°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Marks77.6%65.3%75.2%1.53+2.4%

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AI Analysis

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Adelaide Crows vs Western Bulldogs: James O'Donnell Over 3.5 Marks (-303)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

At Adelaide Oval, James O'Donnell has been showing some impressive skills recently. Our numbers suggest he typically gets around 4.8 marks, and in this matchup, he's been hitting about 10 marks. That's a solid jump, and it makes him a strong candidate to grab over 3.5 marks against the Western Bulldogs. The biggest concern here is that the Bulldogs can be tough on defense, which might make it harder for O'Donnell to find open space. However, his recent form and the home advantage at Adelaide Oval give him a good chance to shine. Overall, betting on him to get over 3.5 marks seems like a smart move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 3 of last 3(100%)

Season averages (2024)

James O'Donnell averaged 11.2 disposals, 0.1 goals and 4.4 marks per game across 14 games in 2024.

11.2
Disposals
0.1
Goals
4.4
Marks
1.0
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (6 Sep 24 vs Hawthorn), James O'Donnell recorded 11 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
6 Sep 24Hawthorn11051
25 Aug 24GWS GIANTS11022
18 Aug 24North Melbourne17090
6 Jul 24Port Adelaide3001
29 Jun 24North Melbourne9052
15 Jun 24Fremantle15062
7 Jun 24Brisbane Lions8240
31 May 24Collingwood11071
18 May 24GWS GIANTS9032
11 May 24Richmond21053
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
05 Sep 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Marks 3.5 Over -303 ✓ HIT
28 Aug 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Western Bulldogs Marks 3.5 Over -278 ✓ HIT
28 Aug 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Western Bulldogs Marks 2.5 Over -833 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

James O'Donnell (Western Bulldogs) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for James O'Donnell is Over 3.5 on Marks. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.4% on this pick. Their next game is Western Bulldogs vs Adelaide Crows on Saturday 5 September at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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