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The latest Bet Better model pick for Jacob Koschitzke is Over 0.5 on Goals.
On Goals, our numbers say this bet wins about 77 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 77%, implied 68%, edge +8.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 31, 3:45AM UTC
AFL

Jacob Koschitzke

Richmond

+8.5% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -213 (1.47) · $100→$147
+8.5% Edge
Richmond Tigers @ West Coast Eagles
Optus Stadium, Perth, WA · Outdoor
Sat 19 Jul, 10:10AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 15°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
77 in 100
Predicted
1.1 Goals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 76.5% · the book's price implies 68.0% · gap +8.5%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Goals76.5%—68.0%1.31+8.5%

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AI Analysis

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Jacob Koschitzke (Richmond) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-213)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Jacob Koschitzke is poised to snag a goal in the upcoming West Coast Eagles vs. Richmond Tigers clash. With a model predicting him to score 1.1 goals and a solid 8.5% edge, the statistics align in his favor. Koschitzke's recent form, averaging 0.8 goals in his last five away games, coupled with facing an opponent where he averages 1 goal in the same period, bodes well for this bet. His average of 1.8 shots at goal and 0.8 marks inside 50 indicate he's getting in dangerous positions to capitalize. Considering his 43.3% goal accuracy, the over 0.5 line seems within reach for Koschitzke to contribute to the scoresheet.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Jacob Koschitzke averaged 9.1 disposals, 0.9 goals and 3.2 marks per game across 14 games in 2024.

9.1
Disposals
0.9
Goals
3.2
Marks
1.2
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (24 Aug 24 vs Gold Coast SUNS), Jacob Koschitzke recorded 9 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
24 Aug 24Gold Coast SUNS9010
18 Aug 24Hawthorn10021
11 Aug 24St Kilda9130
3 Aug 24North Melbourne12260
28 Jul 24Collingwood12133
20 Jul 24Port Adelaide8111
14 Jul 24GWS GIANTS9231
6 Jul 24Fremantle11060
30 Jun 24Carlton12242
15 Jun 24Hawthorn12152
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Jacob Koschitzke (Richmond) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jacob Koschitzke is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +8.5% on this pick. Their next game is Richmond Tigers vs West Coast Eagles on Saturday 19 July at Optus Stadium, Perth. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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