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AFL

Jacob Koschitzke

Richmond

Value call

Jacob Koschitzke (Richmond) has one live pick today: over 0.5 goals that pays $148 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
78 in 100
Predicted
1.1 goals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 78.1% · the book's price implies 67.6% · gap +10.5%.

Latest Model PickFree
Richmond Tigers @ West Coast Eagles
Optus Stadium, Perth, WA · Outdoor
Sat 19 Jul, 8:10 PM AEST
Jacob Koschitzke
over 0.5 goals
Goals Over 0.5 -208 (1.48) · $100→$148
Value call
HIGHWins about 78 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$14.80 Odds-208
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jacob Koschitzke is Over 0.5 on Goals.
On Goals, our numbers say this bet wins about 78 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 78%, the price says 68%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 26, 4:04PM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 15°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Goals78.1%—67.6%1.28+10.5%

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AI Analysis

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Jacob Koschitzke (Richmond) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-208)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Jacob Koschitzke presents a solid opportunity to snag a goal in the West Coast Eagles vs. Richmond Tigers matchup. With a model predicting 1.1 goals, a 10.5% edge, and an implied probability of 67.6%, his recent form supports this bet. In his last five away games, Koschitzke has averaged 0.8 goals, showcasing a consistent scoring threat. His involvement in creating scoring opportunities, averaging 1.8 shots at goal and 3 score involvements, further cements his goal-scoring potential. Facing an opponent where he has historically performed well, Koschitzke is in a prime position to split the middle and deliver for the Tigers.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Jacob Koschitzke averaged 9.1 disposals, 0.9 goals and 3.2 marks per game across 14 games in 2024.

9.1
Disposals
0.9
Goals
3.2
Marks
1.2
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (24 Aug 24 vs Gold Coast SUNS), Jacob Koschitzke recorded 9 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
24 Aug 24Gold Coast SUNS9010
18 Aug 24Hawthorn10021
11 Aug 24St Kilda9130
3 Aug 24North Melbourne12260
28 Jul 24Collingwood12133
20 Jul 24Port Adelaide8111
14 Jul 24GWS GIANTS9231
6 Jul 24Fremantle11060
30 Jun 24Carlton12242
15 Jun 24Hawthorn12152
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Jacob Koschitzke (Richmond) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jacob Koschitzke is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +10.5% on this pick. Their next game is Richmond Tigers vs West Coast Eagles on Saturday 19 July at Optus Stadium, Perth. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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