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The latest Bet Better model pick for Jack Sinclair is Under 27.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 63 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 63%, implied 54%, edge +9.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 30, 9:06PM UTC
AFL

Jack Sinclair

St Kilda

+9.4% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Under 27.5 -116 (1.86) · $100→$186
+9.4% Edge
Collingwood Magpies @ St Kilda Saints
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sun 8 Mar, 8:20AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 25°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
63 in 100
Predicted
25.8 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 63.1% · the book's price implies 53.8% · gap +9.4%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals63.1%—53.8%1.58+9.4%

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AI Analysis

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Jack Sinclair (St Kilda) Under 27.5 Disposals (-116)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Jack Sinclair, the St Kilda Saints' reliable midfielder, faces the Collingwood Magpies at the MCG. Recent trends suggest Sinclair may struggle to reach the bookmakers' line of 27.5 disposals. Despite averaging a solid 26.8 disposals in his last five home games, his recent matchups against Collingwood have seen him fall short, with averages of 21 and 22.3 disposals respectively. His overall disposals average of 29 is impressive, but recent turnovers and uncontested possessions indicate some inconsistency. With a model prediction of 25.8, Sinclair's recent form against Collingwood and minor fluctuations in key stats make the Under 27.5 disposals bet an intriguing option for savvy punters looking to capitalize on these trends.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Jack Sinclair averaged 27.1 disposals, 0.3 goals and 5.3 marks per game across 22 games in 2024.

27.1
Disposals
0.3
Goals
5.3
Marks
3.0
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (25 Aug 24 vs Carlton), Jack Sinclair recorded 28 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
25 Aug 24Carlton28082
17 Aug 24Geelong Cats26054
11 Aug 24Richmond29092
4 Aug 24Brisbane Lions30068
27 Jul 24Essendon28091
20 Jul 24West Coast Eagles31072
13 Jul 24Adelaide Crows20033
7 Jul 24Sydney Swans28063
30 Jun 24Port Adelaide310105
14 Jun 24Brisbane Lions32012
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Jack Sinclair (St Kilda) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jack Sinclair is Under 27.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +9.4% on this pick. Their next game is Collingwood Magpies vs St Kilda Saints on Sunday 8 March at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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