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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jack Martin is Over 0.5 on Goals.
On the Goals market the model assigns a model win probability of 84%, versus the book's implied 83%, for a model edge of +1.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 16, 9:47AM UTC
AFL

Jack Martin

Geelong Cats

+1.0% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -500 (1.20)
+1.0% Edge
St Kilda Saints @ Geelong Cats
GMHBA Stadium, Geelong, VIC · Outdoor
Thu 16 Jul, 9:30AM
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Model Probability
84.4%
Implied Probability
83.3%
Model Edge
+1.0%
Predicted Value
1.3 Goals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Goals84.4%—83.3%1.19+1.0%

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AI Analysis

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Jack Martin (Geelong Cats) Over 0.5 Goals (-500)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player to snag a goal, Jack Martin from the Geelong Cats is standing out as a prime candidate. With a consistent average of 1.4 goals over his last 5 home games and a solid hit rate of 7 out of the last 8 home games, Martin has been a reliable goal kicker. His recent performance against St Kilda also showcases his ability to find the big sticks, averaging 2 goals in their past encounters. With an average of 2.4 shots at goal and 1.6 marks inside 50 in his last 5 home games, Martin is actively involved in the Cats' forward line, making him a constant threat to split the middle. This trend, combined with his current form and the statistical edge pointing towards the Over, makes Jack Martin a strong bet to bag at least one goal in this upcoming clash.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
10.5avg disposals recent
Season best15
Disposals last 10avg 10.5 · hi 15 · lo 1
12151514712106131

Jack Martin has a disposals high of 15 in AFL.

GoalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
1.5avg goals recent
Season best3
Goals last 10avg 1.5 · hi 3 · lo 0
3112122120

Jack Martin has a goals high of 3 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
11 Jul 26 Geelong Cats @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Goals 0.5 Over -417 ✓ HIT
02 Jul 26 Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats Goals 0.5 Over -385 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Jack Martin (Geelong Cats) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jack Martin is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.0% on this pick. Their next game is St Kilda Saints vs Geelong Cats on Thursday 16 July at GMHBA Stadium, Geelong. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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