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AFL

Jack Henry

Geelong Cats

Value call

Jack Henry (Geelong Cats) has one live pick today: over 10.5 disposals that pays $189 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
66 in 100
Predicted
12.5 disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 65.7% · the book's price implies 52.9% · gap +12.8%.

Latest Model PickFree
Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sat 27 Sep, 2:30 PM AEST
Jack Henry
over 10.5 disposals
Disposals Over 10.5 -112 (1.89) · $100→$189
Value call
HIGHWins about 66 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.90 Odds-112
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jack Henry is Over 10.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 66 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 66%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 26, 4:10PM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 14°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals65.7%—52.9%1.52+12.8%

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AI Analysis

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Jack Henry (Geelong Cats) Over 10.5 Disposals (-112)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Jack Henry is poised to exceed 10.5 disposals in the upcoming Geelong Cats vs. Brisbane Lions game at the MCG. With a model prediction of 12.5 disposals and a solid 12.8% edge, Henry's recent form supports this bet. In his last 5 home games, he has averaged 9.8 disposals, with a high of 12.4 against Brisbane. His consistency is evident with a 6/8 hit rate in home games. Additionally, his proficiency in contested possessions (3.4 avg) and intercepts (5 avg) against this opponent further solidify his potential to surpass the line. Betting on Jack Henry to achieve over 10.5 disposals presents a favorable opportunity based on his recent performance metrics and historical matchup success.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Jack Henry averaged 11.5 disposals, 0.0 goals and 5.7 marks per game across 25 games in 2024.

11.5
Disposals
0.0
Goals
5.7
Marks
1.4
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (21 Sep 24 vs Brisbane Lions), Jack Henry recorded 10 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
21 Sep 24Brisbane Lions10030
5 Sep 24Port Adelaide10042
24 Aug 24West Coast Eagles14081
17 Aug 24St Kilda10063
10 Aug 24Fremantle13082
3 Aug 24Adelaide Crows12073
27 Jul 24North Melbourne13090
20 Jul 24Western Bulldogs11054
12 Jul 24Collingwood160102
6 Jul 24Hawthorn16091
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Jack Henry (Geelong Cats) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jack Henry is Over 10.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +12.8% on this pick. Their next game is Brisbane Lions vs Geelong Cats on Saturday 27 September at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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