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The latest Bet Better model pick for Jack Henry is Over 9.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 73 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 73%, implied 62%, edge +10.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 25, 3:33PM UTC
AFL

Jack Henry

Geelong Cats

+10.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 9.5 -164 (1.61) · $100→$161
+10.6% Edge
Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sat 27 Sep, 4:30AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 14°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
73 in 100
Predicted
12.5 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 72.7% · the book's price implies 62.1% · gap +10.6%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals72.7%—62.1%1.37+10.6%

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AI Analysis

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Jack Henry (Geelong Cats) Over 9.5 Disposals (-164)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Jack Henry is poised to surpass 9.5 disposals based on his recent form. His home game averages in contested possessions (3.4), kicks (8.2), and overall disposals (9.8) are solid. Against Brisbane, he has a higher disposals average of 12.4 in the last 5 home games. With an impressive 88.0% disposal efficiency, Henry is a key player in Geelong's setup. Although he hasn't hit a streak recently, his consistent home performance (16/19 hit rate) and overall reliability (9/11 hit rate) make him a reliable bet to exceed 9.5 disposals, especially with the model predicting 12.5 disposals, indicating a 10.6% edge.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Jack Henry averaged 11.5 disposals, 0.0 goals and 5.7 marks per game across 25 games in 2024.

11.5
Disposals
0.0
Goals
5.7
Marks
1.4
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (21 Sep 24 vs Brisbane Lions), Jack Henry recorded 10 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
21 Sep 24Brisbane Lions10030
5 Sep 24Port Adelaide10042
24 Aug 24West Coast Eagles14081
17 Aug 24St Kilda10063
10 Aug 24Fremantle13082
3 Aug 24Adelaide Crows12073
27 Jul 24North Melbourne13090
20 Jul 24Western Bulldogs11054
12 Jul 24Collingwood160102
6 Jul 24Hawthorn16091
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Jack Henry (Geelong Cats) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jack Henry is Over 9.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +10.6% on this pick. Their next game is Brisbane Lions vs Geelong Cats on Saturday 27 September at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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