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AFL

Jack Henry

Geelong Cats

+10.2% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 9.5 -167 (1.60)
+10.2% Edge
Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats
MCG, Melbourne
Sat 27 Sep, 4:30AM
Model Probability
72.7%
Implied Probability
62.5%
Model Edge
+10.2%
Predicted Value
12.5 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Jack Henry (Geelong Cats) Over 9.5 Disposals (-167)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Jack Henry is poised to surpass 9.5 disposals against the Brisbane Lions due to his recent form and historical performance against this opponent. With a model prediction of 12.5 disposals, indicating a 10.2% edge, and a strong average of 9.8 disposals in his last 5 home games, Henry is well-positioned to deliver. His consistent contested possessions (3.4) and high disposalefficiency (88.0%) provide further support for this bet. Additionally, facing the Lions, against whom he averages 12.4 disposals, boosts his chances of meeting the line. Henry’s track record of hitting rates (16/19 at home) and overall reliability (9/11) further strengthen the case for confidently backing him to exceed 9.5 disposals in this upcoming game at the MCG.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (42 picks) 64.3% (27/42)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
27 Sep 25 Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats Disposals 9.5 Over -167 ✗ MISS
27 Sep 25 Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats Disposals 9.5 Over -167 ✓ HIT
27 Sep 25 Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats Disposals 9.5 Over -167 ✓ HIT
27 Sep 25 Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats Disposals Pending
27 Sep 25 Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats Disposals Pending
27 Sep 25 Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats Disposals Pending

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