Jack Bowes (Geelong Cats) Under 15.5 Disposals (-122)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Jack Bowes is likely to stay under 15.5 disposals against Hawthorn based on his recent form and matchup history. Despite averaging 17.2 disposals in his last five home games, he faces a tougher opponent in Hawthorn, against whom he averages 16.5 disposals. His current form shows a downward trend, with only a 2/3 hit rate in his last three games. Additionally, his contested possessions and kicks are slightly below the required level for this bet. With a model prediction of 12.6 disposals and a 17.0% edge, the statistics suggest Bowes may struggle to reach the 15.5 disposal line, making the under a favorable bet.