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AFL

Jack Bowes

Geelong Cats

Value call

Jack Bowes (Geelong Cats) has one live pick today: under 15.5 disposals that pays $188 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
72 in 100
Predicted
12.6 disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 72.0% · the book's price implies 53.2% · gap +18.8%.

Latest Model PickFree
Hawthorn Hawks @ Geelong Cats
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Fri 19 Sep, 7:40 PM AEST
Jack Bowes
under 15.5 disposals
Disposals Under 15.5 -114 (1.88) · $100→$188
Value call
HIGHWins about 72 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.80 Odds-114
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jack Bowes is Under 15.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 72 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 72%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 26, 4:08PM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 14°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals72.0%—53.2%1.39+18.8%

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AI Analysis

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Jack Bowes (Geelong Cats) Under 15.5 Disposals (-114)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Jack Bowes is likely to fall under 15.5 disposals against Hawthorn due to his recent performance. With a model prediction of 12.6 and an 18.8% edge, Bowes has been averaging 17.2 disposals in his last 5 home games, slightly below the line. His recent form against Hawthorn also suggests a lower average of 16.5 disposals, strengthening the under bet. Additionally, his turnovers are minimal at 1.4 on average, indicating good possession retention. With a solid contested possessions average of 6.8, Bowes may focus more on quality over quantity in this matchup, making the under 15.5 disposals a favorable bet.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Jack Bowes averaged 18.4 disposals, 0.5 goals and 3.1 marks per game across 22 games in 2024.

18.4
Disposals
0.5
Goals
3.1
Marks
4.7
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (21 Sep 24 vs Brisbane Lions), Jack Bowes recorded 13 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
21 Sep 24Brisbane Lions13024
5 Sep 24Port Adelaide18272
24 Aug 24West Coast Eagles24125
17 Aug 24St Kilda31043
10 Aug 24Fremantle12018
3 Aug 24Adelaide Crows5000
27 Jul 24North Melbourne20059
20 Jul 24Western Bulldogs18026
12 Jul 24Collingwood24192
6 Jul 24Hawthorn24034
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Jack Bowes (Geelong Cats) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jack Bowes is Under 15.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +18.8% on this pick. Their next game is Hawthorn Hawks vs Geelong Cats on Friday 19 September at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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