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The latest Bet Better model pick for Hunter Clark is Over 14.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 70%, versus the book's implied 69%, for a model edge of +0.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 31, 3:35AM UTC
AFL

Hunter Clark

St Kilda

+0.9% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 14.5 -227 (1.44)
+0.9% Edge
Sydney Swans @ St Kilda Saints
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sat 1 Aug, 3:05AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 25°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
70.3%
Implied Probability
69.4%
Model Edge
+0.9%
Predicted Value
17.1 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals70.3%69.4%1.42+0.9%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games3/3
Last 5 games5/5
Last 10 games8/10

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AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Hunter Clark (St Kilda) Over 14.5 Disposals (-227)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to Hunter Clark's performance at Marvel Stadium, the numbers paint a compelling picture. Over his last five home games, Clark has been a midfield maestro, averaging 16.4 disposals per outing. His ability to find space and create opportunities is evident in his average of 10 kicks and 6.4 handballs per game. With an impressive disposal efficiency of 71.3% and an average of 297.2 meters gained, Clark is not just a quantity player but a quality one as well. Facing off against the Sydney Swans, Clark has historically elevated his game, averaging 10.6 disposals in his last five matchups against them at home. This season, his overall disposals average sits at a solid 14.4 per game. With his consistent form and the Swans in his sights, backing Clark to surpass 14.5 disposals in this game is a sound bet.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

1 market live
Disposalsvs Sydney SwansO 14.5 -227+0.9% edge
60%hit L10 O 14.5
14.4avg disposals L5
Home16.4vs Sydney Swans10.6Season best23
O 12.560%
O 13.560%
O 14.560%
O 15.540%
O 16.540%
O 17.540%
Game log vs line (O 14.5)9 / 10 hit
18161417212120232223

Hunter Clark has gone over 14.5 disposals in 6 of his last 10 AFL games (last-5 average 14.4 disposals, best 23). Current line: Over 14.5 at -227, model edge +0.9%.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Hunter Clark (St Kilda) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Hunter Clark is Over 14.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.9% on this pick. Their next game is Sydney Swans vs St Kilda Saints on Saturday 1 August at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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