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The latest Bet Better model pick for Hayden Young is Under 20.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 70%, versus the book's implied 56%, for a model edge of +13.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:15AM UTC
AFL

Hayden Young

Fremantle

+13.9% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Under 20.5 -130 (1.77)
+13.9% Edge
Fremantle Dockers @ Western Bulldogs
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sun 24 Aug, 5:15AM
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Model Probability
70.4%
Implied Probability
56.5%
Model Edge
+13.9%
Predicted Value
17.8 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals70.4%—56.5%1.42+13.9%

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AI Analysis

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Hayden Young (Fremantle) Under 20.5 Disposals (-130)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Hayden Young's recent away performances, averaging 16.2 disposals over the last five games, fall below the line of 20.5 set by the sportsbook. Considering his L5 stats against the upcoming opponent and overall averages, his disposals have not consistently surpassed 20.5. With a model predicting 17.8 disposals and a margin of 13.9%, the data suggests Young is likely to stay under the set line. His recent hit rates and streaks, especially away games hit rate of 4/5, further support the bet on Young to have fewer than 20.5 disposals in the upcoming Western Bulldogs vs. Fremantle Dockers clash at Marvel Stadium.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
22avg disposals recent
Season best30
Disposals last 10avg 22 · hi 28 · lo 17
24172420282027221919

Hayden Young has a disposals high of 30 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Hayden Young (Fremantle) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Hayden Young is Under 20.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +13.9% on this pick. Their next game is Fremantle Dockers vs Western Bulldogs on Sunday 24 August at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

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