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AFL

Hayden Young

Fremantle

Value call

Hayden Young (Fremantle) has one live pick today: under 20.5 disposals that pays $187 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
66 in 100
Predicted
16.9 disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 66.1% · before adjusting for past results 73.0% · the book's price implies 53.5% · gap +12.6%.

Latest Model PickFree
Hawthorn Hawks @ Fremantle Dockers
Optus Stadium, Perth, WA · Outdoor
Thu 3 Sep, 8:10 PM AEST
Hayden Young
under 20.5 disposals
Disposals Under 20.5 -115 (1.87) · $100→$187
Value call
HIGHWins about 66 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.70 Odds-115
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Hayden Young is Under 20.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 66 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 66%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 23, 11:54AM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 15°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals73.0%66.1%53.5%2.04+19.5%

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AI Analysis

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Fremantle Dockers vs Hawthorn Hawks: Hayden Young Under 20.5 Disposals (-115)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

At Optus Stadium, Fremantle takes on Hawthorn in a matchup where both teams are in decent form, each winning seven of their last ten games. Hayden Young has been solid, but he faces a challenge today. The Dockers get the ball inside 50 more often than their opponents, which could limit Young's overall touches. Young's recent stats show he has been around 20 disposals, but with both teams competing hard for contested possessions, he might struggle to hit that mark. Plus, Fremantle tends to lose contested balls, which could mean less opportunity for him. So, while he has a good shot at the under 20.5 disposals, the tight contest could make it tricky for him.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Hayden Young averaged 23.8 disposals, 0.6 goals and 3.3 marks per game across 23 games in 2024.

23.8
Disposals
0.6
Goals
3.3
Marks
5.3
Tackles

Hit-rate ladder: Disposals

Hayden Young has cleared 14.5 disposals in 80% of his last 10 games, with the hit rate easing as the line rises.

o14.580%
o15.570%
o17.570%
o19.550%
o21.540%
o22.540%
o24.510%
o26.510%
o28.50%
o29.50%
o31.50%
o33.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Hayden Young is averaging 22.4 disposals per game over his last 5.

22.4
Disp · Overall
0.4
Goals · Overall

Recent game log

In his most recent game (25 Aug 24 vs Port Adelaide), Hayden Young recorded 19 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
25 Aug 24Port Adelaide19013
17 Aug 24GWS GIANTS19034
10 Aug 24Geelong Cats22113
4 Aug 24Essendon27217
27 Jul 24West Coast Eagles200012
21 Jul 24Melbourne28031
13 Jul 24Hawthorn20018
6 Jul 24Richmond24253
29 Jun 24Sydney Swans17010
23 Jun 24Gold Coast SUNS24343
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
03 Sep 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals 20.5 Under -115 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Hayden Young (Fremantle) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Hayden Young is Under 20.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +19.5% on this pick. Their next game is Hawthorn Hawks vs Fremantle Dockers on Thursday 3 September at Optus Stadium, Perth. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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