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AFL

Hayden Young

Fremantle

+13.9% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Under 20.5 -130 (1.77)
+13.9% Edge
Fremantle Dockers @ Western Bulldogs
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne
Sun 24 Aug, 5:15AM
Model Probability
70.4%
Implied Probability
56.5%
Model Edge
+13.9%
Predicted Value
17.8 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Hayden Young (Fremantle) Under 20.5 Disposals (-130)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Hayden Young's recent away performances, averaging 16.2 disposals over the last five games, fall below the line of 20.5 set by the sportsbook. Considering his L5 stats against the upcoming opponent and overall averages, his disposals have not consistently surpassed 20.5. With a model predicting 17.8 disposals and a margin of 13.9%, the data suggests Young is likely to stay under the set line. His recent hit rates and streaks, especially away games hit rate of 4/5, further support the bet on Young to have fewer than 20.5 disposals in the upcoming Western Bulldogs vs. Fremantle Dockers clash at Marvel Stadium.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (1 picks) 100.0% (1/1)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
24 Aug 25 Fremantle Dockers @ Western Bulldogs Disposals 20.5 Under -130 ✓ HIT

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