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The latest Bet Better model pick for Hayden Young is Under 20.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 70 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 70%, implied 56%, edge +13.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 31, 12:18AM UTC
AFL

Hayden Young

Fremantle

+13.9% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Under 20.5 -130 (1.77) · $100→$177
+13.9% Edge
Fremantle Dockers @ Western Bulldogs
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sun 24 Aug, 5:15AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 15°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
70 in 100
Predicted
17.8 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 70.4% · the book's price implies 56.5% · gap +13.9%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals70.4%—56.5%1.42+13.9%

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AI Analysis

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Hayden Young (Fremantle) Under 20.5 Disposals (-130)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Hayden Young's recent away performances, averaging 16.2 disposals over the last five games, fall below the line of 20.5 set by the sportsbook. Considering his L5 stats against the upcoming opponent and overall averages, his disposals have not consistently surpassed 20.5. With a model predicting 17.8 disposals and a margin of 13.9%, the data suggests Young is likely to stay under the set line. His recent hit rates and streaks, especially away games hit rate of 4/5, further support the bet on Young to have fewer than 20.5 disposals in the upcoming Western Bulldogs vs. Fremantle Dockers clash at Marvel Stadium.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Hayden Young averaged 23.8 disposals, 0.6 goals and 3.3 marks per game across 23 games in 2024.

23.8
Disposals
0.6
Goals
3.3
Marks
5.3
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (25 Aug 24 vs Port Adelaide), Hayden Young recorded 19 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
25 Aug 24Port Adelaide19013
17 Aug 24GWS GIANTS19034
10 Aug 24Geelong Cats22113
4 Aug 24Essendon27217
27 Jul 24West Coast Eagles200012
21 Jul 24Melbourne28031
13 Jul 24Hawthorn20018
6 Jul 24Richmond24253
29 Jun 24Sydney Swans17010
23 Jun 24Gold Coast SUNS24343
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Hayden Young (Fremantle) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Hayden Young is Under 20.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +13.9% on this pick. Their next game is Fremantle Dockers vs Western Bulldogs on Sunday 24 August at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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