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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Harry Perryman is Over 12.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 73 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 73%, implied 70%, edge +2.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 30, 5:22PM UTC
AFL

Harry Perryman

Collingwood

+2.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 12.5 -233 (1.43) · $100→$143
+2.6% Edge
Collingwood Magpies @ St Kilda Saints
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sun 8 Mar, 8:20AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 17°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
GOOD confidence
How often this wins
73 in 100
Predicted
15.5 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 72.5% · the book's price implies 69.9% · gap +2.6%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals72.5%69.9%1.38+2.6%

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AI Analysis

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Harry Perryman (Collingwood) Over 12.5 Disposals (-233)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to dependable ball magnets, Harry Perryman stands tall. In his last five away clashes, Perryman has been a pillar of consistency, averaging a tidy 14.6 disposals per game. Facing St Kilda, a team he's historically tallied 16 disposals against on the road, Perryman's knack for finding the footy is evident. With an impressive 73.4% disposal efficiency and an average of 9.8 kicks per away game, Perryman is poised to orchestrate Collingwood's midfield dominance at the MCG. His recent form boasts a streak of hitting the over in 16 out of his last 20 away matches, underlining his reliability. The numbers paint a compelling picture for Perryman to surpass the 12.5 disposals line, making him a prime target for this Sunday's clash.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Harry Perryman averaged 18.0 disposals, 0.1 goals and 5.0 marks per game across 21 games in 2024.

18.0
Disposals
0.1
Goals
5.0
Marks
2.8
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (14 Sep 24 vs Brisbane Lions), Harry Perryman recorded 16 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
14 Sep 24Brisbane Lions16061
7 Sep 24Sydney Swans13054
25 Aug 24Western Bulldogs18031
17 Aug 24Fremantle19072
10 Aug 24Brisbane Lions17083
4 Aug 24Hawthorn15004
27 Jul 24Melbourne17051
20 Jul 24Gold Coast SUNS26181
14 Jul 24Richmond22043
6 Jul 24Carlton11041
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Harry Perryman (Collingwood) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Harry Perryman is Over 12.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.6% on this pick. Their next game is Collingwood Magpies vs St Kilda Saints on Sunday 8 March at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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