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The latest Bet Better model pick for Harry Perryman is Over 12.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 73%, versus the book's implied 70%, for a model edge of +2.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 3:39PM UTC
AFL

Harry Perryman

Collingwood

+2.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 12.5 -233 (1.43) · $100→$143
+2.6% Edge
Collingwood Magpies @ St Kilda Saints
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sun 8 Mar, 8:20AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 17°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
72.5%
Implied Probability
69.9%
Model Edge
+2.6%
Predicted Value
15.5 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals72.5%69.9%1.38+2.6%

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AI Analysis

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Harry Perryman (Collingwood) Over 12.5 Disposals (-233)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to dependable ball magnets, Harry Perryman stands tall. In his last five away clashes, Perryman has been a pillar of consistency, averaging a tidy 14.6 disposals per game. Facing St Kilda, a team he's historically tallied 16 disposals against on the road, Perryman's knack for finding the footy is evident. With an impressive 73.4% disposal efficiency and an average of 9.8 kicks per away game, Perryman is poised to orchestrate Collingwood's midfield dominance at the MCG. His recent form boasts a streak of hitting the over in 16 out of his last 20 away matches, underlining his reliability. The numbers paint a compelling picture for Perryman to surpass the 12.5 disposals line, making him a prime target for this Sunday's clash.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
17.4avg disposals recent
Season best26
Disposals last 10avg 17.4 · hi 26 · lo 11
11222617151719181316

Harry Perryman has a disposals high of 26 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Harry Perryman (Collingwood) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Harry Perryman is Over 12.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.6% on this pick. Their next game is Collingwood Magpies vs St Kilda Saints on Sunday 8 March at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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