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AFL

Harry McKay

Carlton

Value call

Harry McKay (Carlton) has one live pick today: over 12.5 disposals that pays $164 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
55 in 100
Predicted
15.2 disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 54.8% · before adjusting for past results 70.5% · the book's price implies 61.0% · gap -6.2%.

Latest Model PickFree
Carlton Blues @ St Kilda Saints
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sun 9 Aug, 7:20 PM AEST
Harry McKay
over 12.5 disposals
Disposals Over 12.5 -156 (1.64) · $100→$164
Value call
LEANWins about 55 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$16.40 Odds-156
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Harry McKay is Over 12.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 55 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 55%, the price says 61%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 26, 4:04PM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 17°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals70.5%54.8%61.0%1.83+9.5%

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AI Analysis

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Harry McKay (Carlton) Over 12.5 Disposals (-156)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player to shine on the field, Harry McKay stands out like a beacon in the night sky. His recent form paints a picture of consistency and hunger. In his last five away games, McKay has been a midfield dynamo, averaging 12 disposals, with a keen eye for precision at 60.3% disposal efficiency. Against St Kilda, his numbers soar even higher, hitting an average of 15 disposals. McKay's ability to cover ground is another feather in his cap, racking up an impressive average of 240.2 meters gained. With his current hit streak and a hunger to dominate, McKay is poised to snag over 12.5 disposals in this clash. Betting on McKay to deliver the goods in the disposal department is a smart move for any footy punter looking to back a player in red-hot form.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Harry McKay averaged 13.0 disposals, 2.3 goals and 6.8 marks per game across 21 games in 2024.

13.0
Disposals
2.3
Goals
6.8
Marks
2.5
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (7 Sep 24 vs Brisbane Lions), Harry McKay recorded 9 disposals and 3 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
7 Sep 24Brisbane Lions9351
11 Aug 24Hawthorn16182
3 Aug 24Collingwood8154
21 Jul 24North Melbourne12241
13 Jul 24Western Bulldogs14391
6 Jul 24GWS GIANTS11530
30 Jun 24Richmond15281
21 Jun 24Geelong Cats9373
9 Jun 24Essendon8133
30 May 24Port Adelaide17361
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
09 Aug 26 Carlton Blues @ St Kilda Saints Goals 0.5 Over -769 ✓ HIT
01 Aug 26 Brisbane Lions @ Carlton Blues Goals 0.5 Over -500 ✓ HIT
01 Aug 26 Brisbane Lions @ Carlton Blues Disposals 12.5 Over -227 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Carlton Blues @ St Kilda Saints Disposals — — — Pending
09 Aug 26 Carlton Blues @ St Kilda Saints Disposals — — — Pending
09 Aug 26 Carlton Blues @ St Kilda Saints Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Harry McKay (Carlton) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Harry McKay is Over 12.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +9.5% on this pick. Their next game is Carlton Blues vs St Kilda Saints on Sunday 9 August at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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