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AFL

Harry McKay

Carlton

+2.2% Edge
Latest Pick
Goals Over 1.5 -303 (1.33)
+2.2% Edge
Melbourne Demons @ Carlton Blues
MCG, Melbourne
Sun 29 Mar, 4:15AM
Model Probability
77.4%
Implied Probability
75.2%
Model Edge
+2.2%
Predicted Value
2.1 Goals

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Harry McKay (Carlton) Over 1.5 Goals (-303)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a goal scorer in the AFL, Harry McKay is a name that commands attention. With a recent average of 3 goals per home game, McKay is a force to be reckoned with, especially against Melbourne, where he's been consistently finding the big sticks. His sharp goal accuracy of 57.5% at home shows he's not one to waste opportunities. McKay's ability to impact the game is evident through his impressive score involvements and marks inside 50. With a current hit streak of 1 goal per game, McKay is in form and hungry to snag more goals for the Blues on their home turf at the MCG. The stats paint a clear picture - backing McKay to score over 1.5 goals against Melbourne is a calculated bet with strong potential.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (4 picks) 75.0% (3/4)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
29 Mar 26 Melbourne Demons @ Carlton Blues Goals 1.5 Over -303 ✗ MISS
12 Mar 26 Richmond Tigers @ Carlton Blues Goals 1.5 Over -200 ✓ HIT
03 Aug 25 Carlton Blues @ Fremantle Dockers Goals 0.5 Over -385 ✓ HIT
24 Jul 25 Carlton Blues @ Hawthorn Hawks Goals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Harry McKay (Carlton) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 4 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 75.0% (3/4). The latest model pick for Harry McKay is Over 1.5 on Goals. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.2% on this pick. Their next game is Melbourne Demons vs Carlton Blues on Sunday 29 March at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.