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AFL

Harry McKay

Carlton

+12.4% Edge
Latest Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -588 (1.17)
+12.4% Edge
Collingwood Magpies @ Carlton Blues
MCG, Melbourne
Thu 16 Apr, 9:30AM
Model Probability
97.9%
Implied Probability
85.5%
Model Edge
+12.4%
Predicted Value
2.1 Goals

AI Analysis

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Harry McKay (Carlton) Over 0.5 Goals (-588)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to banking on goal-scoring prowess, Harry McKay stands tall like a goalpost in a sea of players. With an average of 2.6 goals per game in his last five home matches and a solid hit rate of 100% against Collingwood in recent encounters, McKay is a reliable offensive force. His accuracy inside 50, marked by 2.6 marks and 2.8 shots on goal per game, showcases his ability to create and capitalize on scoring opportunities consistently. Add in his impressive streak of 8 consecutive games with at least one goal and a flawless 10/10 hit rate overall, and McKay emerges as a prime candidate to snag at least one goal against the Magpies. With such consistent form and a hunger for goals, McKay hitting Over 0.5 seems like a safe bet as he looks to light up the MCG and keep the scoreboard ticking for the Blues.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (6 picks) 83.3% (5/6)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
16 Apr 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Carlton Blues Goals 0.5 Over -588 ✓ HIT
09 Apr 26 Carlton Blues @ Adelaide Crows Goals 0.5 Over -769 ✓ HIT
29 Mar 26 Melbourne Demons @ Carlton Blues Goals 1.5 Over -303 ✗ MISS
12 Mar 26 Richmond Tigers @ Carlton Blues Goals — — — Pending
03 Aug 25 Carlton Blues @ Fremantle Dockers Goals — — — Pending
24 Jul 25 Carlton Blues @ Hawthorn Hawks Goals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Harry McKay (Carlton) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 6 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 83.3% (5/6). The latest model pick for Harry McKay is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +12.4% on this pick. Their next game is Collingwood Magpies vs Carlton Blues on Thursday 16 April at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.