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The latest Bet Better model pick for Harris Andrews is Over 10.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 89 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 89%, implied 88%, edge +0.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 2, 5:10AM UTC
AFL

Harris Andrews

Brisbane Lions

+0.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 10.5 -769 (1.13) · $100→$113
+0.6% Edge
Brisbane Lions @ Sydney Swans
SCG, Sydney, NSW · Outdoor
Sat 5 Sep, 5:15AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 25°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
89 in 100
Predicted
15.0 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 89.1% · the book's price implies 88.5% · gap +0.6%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals89.1%—88.5%1.12+0.6%

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AI Analysis

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Sydney Swans vs Brisbane Lions: Harris Andrews Over 10.5 Disposals (-769)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Harris Andrews has shown he can handle a lot of action on the field, especially with his stats suggesting he will get plenty of disposals. He averages more than 10.5 disposals per game, and he has been winning more contests than usual, which means he's getting the ball more often. Playing at the SCG gives him a good chance to keep that trend going. The Brisbane Lions will be facing a tough matchup against the Sydney Swans, who are known for their strong defensive play. This makes it a bit tricky since the Swans can limit scoring opportunities. Still, Andrews has been consistently above average in getting disposals, so we think he can reach that number today. Just keep in mind that a strong defense can sometimes slow things down.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Harris Andrews averaged 13.4 disposals, 0.0 goals and 7.5 marks per game across 26 games in 2024.

13.4
Disposals
0.0
Goals
7.5
Marks
1.4
Tackles

Hit-rate ladder: Disposals

Harris Andrews has cleared 9.5 disposals in 90% of his last 10 games, with the hit rate easing as the line rises.

o9.590%
o10.580%
o12.570%
o13.560%
o15.540%
o16.540%
o18.520%
o19.520%
o21.520%
o22.510%
o24.50%
o25.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Harris Andrews is averaging 13.6 disposals per game over his last 5.

13.6
Disp · Overall
0.0
Goals · Overall

Recent game log

In his most recent game (28 Sep 24 vs Sydney Swans), Harris Andrews recorded 16 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
28 Sep 24Sydney Swans160100
21 Sep 24Geelong Cats12051
14 Sep 24GWS GIANTS13061
7 Sep 24Carlton13063
24 Aug 24Essendon15061
17 Aug 24Collingwood8053
10 Aug 24GWS GIANTS10070
4 Aug 24St Kilda180140
21 Jul 24Sydney Swans14081
14 Jul 24West Coast Eagles10072
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Harris Andrews (Brisbane Lions) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Harris Andrews is Over 10.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.6% on this pick. Their next game is Brisbane Lions vs Sydney Swans on Saturday 5 September at SCG, Sydney. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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