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AFL

Harris Andrews

Brisbane Lions

Value call

Harris Andrews (Brisbane Lions) has one live pick today: over 10.5 disposals that pays $155 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
73 in 100
Predicted
13.0 disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 73.2% · the book's price implies 64.5% · gap +8.7%.

Latest Model PickFree
Brisbane Lions @ Fremantle Dockers
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sat 26 Sep, 2:30 PM AEST
Harris Andrews
over 10.5 disposals
Disposals Over 10.5 -182 (1.55) · $100→$155
Value call
HIGHWins about 73 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$15.50 Odds-182
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Harris Andrews is Over 10.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 73 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 73%, the price says 65%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 13, 2:24AM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 25°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals73.2%—64.5%1.37+8.7%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games1/5
Last 10 games6/10

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AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Fremantle Dockers vs Brisbane Lions: Harris Andrews Over 10.5 Disposals (-182)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Harris Andrews has been in solid form lately, showing he can rack up disposals in key moments. The Fremantle Dockers are bringing pressure, but they struggle with contested ball, which gives Andrews plenty of opportunities to get the footy. Our numbers suggest he has a good chance of going over 10.5 disposals in this matchup. One thing to watch is that the Fremantle players are getting it inside 50 more often than Brisbane, which could mean more action for Andrews. However, Fremantle also wins the hit-out count, which might take some of the ball away from him. Still, with Andrews' recent play, he seems set to hit that mark.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Harris Andrews averaged 13.4 disposals, 0.0 goals and 7.5 marks per game across 26 games in 2024.

13.4
Disposals
0.0
Goals
7.5
Marks
1.4
Tackles

Hit-rate ladder: Disposals

Harris Andrews has cleared 9.5 disposals in 90% of his last 10 games, with the hit rate easing as the line rises.

o9.590%
o10.580%
o11.560%
o12.550%
o13.550%
o14.530%
o15.530%
o16.530%
o17.530%
o18.520%
o19.520%
o20.520%

Home / away and opponent splits

Harris Andrews is averaging 10.2 disposals per game over his last 5.

10.2
Disp · Overall
0.0
Goals · Overall

Recent game log

In his most recent game (28 Sep 24 vs Sydney Swans), Harris Andrews recorded 16 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
28 Sep 24Sydney Swans160100
21 Sep 24Geelong Cats12051
14 Sep 24GWS GIANTS13061
7 Sep 24Carlton13063
24 Aug 24Essendon15061
17 Aug 24Collingwood8053
10 Aug 24GWS GIANTS10070
4 Aug 24St Kilda180140
21 Jul 24Sydney Swans14081
14 Jul 24West Coast Eagles10072
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
26 Sep 26 Brisbane Lions @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals 10.5 Over -182 ✓ HIT
26 Sep 26 Brisbane Lions @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals 9.5 Over -294 ✓ HIT
19 Sep 26 Brisbane Lions @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals 12.5 Over -169 ✗ MISS
19 Sep 26 Brisbane Lions @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals — — — Pending
19 Sep 26 Brisbane Lions @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals — — — Pending
19 Sep 26 Brisbane Lions @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Harris Andrews (Brisbane Lions) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Harris Andrews is Over 10.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +8.7% on this pick. Their next game is Brisbane Lions vs Fremantle Dockers on Saturday 26 September at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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