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The latest Bet Better model pick for Finn O'Sullivan is Over 16.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 78%, versus the book's implied 77%, for a model edge of +0.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 8:29PM UTC
AFL

Finn O'Sullivan

North Melbourne

+0.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 16.5 -333 (1.30) · $100→$130
+0.6% Edge
North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Western Bulldogs
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Thu 6 Aug, 9:30AM
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Model Probability
77.5%
Implied Probability
76.9%
Model Edge
+0.6%
Predicted Value
20.2 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals77.5%76.9%1.29+0.6%

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AI Analysis

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Finn O'Sullivan (North Melbourne) Over 16.5 Disposals (-333)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Finn O'Sullivan is set to be a prime target for the 'Player Disposals Over' market when North Melbourne clashes with the Western Bulldogs. Despite his recent away game averages hovering around 15.4 disposals, the matchup against the Bulldogs presents a golden opportunity. In his last five encounters with this opponent, he's elevated his game to an average of 16 disposals. Moreover, O'Sullivan's strong recent form, boasting an average of 19.2 disposals over his last five games overall, indicates that he's hitting his stride. With a line set at 16.5 disposals, the data suggests he's poised to surpass this mark comfortably. Expect Finn O'Sullivan to be in the thick of the action, racking up possessions as he steers North Melbourne's midfield in a bid to secure the win away from home.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted

Finn O'Sullivan - AFL Disposals market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
06 Aug 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Western Bulldogs Disposals 16.5 Over -333 ✗ MISS
06 Aug 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Western Bulldogs Disposals 17.5 Over -238 ✗ MISS
01 Aug 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals 17.5 Over -213 ✓ HIT
01 Aug 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals Pending
01 Aug 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals Pending
18 Jul 26 Melbourne Demons @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Disposals Pending

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About This Player

Finn O'Sullivan (North Melbourne) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Finn O'Sullivan is Over 16.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.6% on this pick. Their next game is North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Western Bulldogs on Thursday 6 August at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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