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AFL

Finn Callaghan

GWS GIANTS

Value call

Finn Callaghan (GWS GIANTS) has one live pick today: over 23.5 disposals that pays $153 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
84 in 100
Predicted
28.4 disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 83.8% · the book's price implies 65.4% · gap +18.5%.

Latest Model PickFree
Sydney Swans @ Greater Western Sydney Giants
ENGIE Stadium, Sydney, NSW · Outdoor
Sat 25 Jul, 4:35 PM AEST
Finn Callaghan
over 23.5 disposals
Disposals Over 23.5 -189 (1.53) · $100→$153
Value call
HIGHWins about 84 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$15.30 Odds-189
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Finn Callaghan is Over 23.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 84 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 84%, the price says 65%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 23, 10:03PM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: rain, 13°C (Jul 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals83.8%—65.4%1.19+18.5%

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AI Analysis

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Finn Callaghan (GWS GIANTS) Over 23.5 Disposals (-189)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Finn Callaghan is primed to shine in the upcoming clash against the Sydney Swans at ENGIE Stadium. In his last five home games, Callaghan has been a disposal machine, averaging a stellar 28.2 disposals per game. His recent form is red hot, with a 100% hit rate, showcasing his consistency in meeting or exceeding the 23.5 disposal line. Against the Swans specifically, he has elevated his game, averaging 26.4 disposals. With an impressive contested possession average of 9 and a knack for gaining meters (560.4 on average), Callaghan is a key playmaker for the Giants. Expect him to impact the game significantly and easily surpass the 23.5 disposal mark once again. Finn Callaghan is a safe bet for Over 23.5 disposals in this matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Finn Callaghan averaged 22.9 disposals, 0.1 goals and 2.8 marks per game across 24 games in 2024.

22.9
Disposals
0.1
Goals
2.8
Marks
3.6
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (14 Sep 24 vs Brisbane Lions), Finn Callaghan recorded 19 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
14 Sep 24Brisbane Lions19003
7 Sep 24Sydney Swans25091
25 Aug 24Western Bulldogs26032
17 Aug 24Fremantle25020
10 Aug 24Brisbane Lions24154
4 Aug 24Hawthorn17012
27 Jul 24Melbourne36063
20 Jul 24Gold Coast SUNS21024
14 Jul 24Richmond21034
6 Jul 24Carlton24033
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
25 Jul 26 Sydney Swans @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals 23.5 Over -189 ✗ MISS
25 Jul 26 Sydney Swans @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals 22.5 Over -263 ✗ MISS
25 Jul 26 Sydney Swans @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals 21.5 Over -357 ✗ MISS
25 Jul 26 Sydney Swans @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals — — — Pending
25 Jul 26 Sydney Swans @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals — — — Pending
25 Jul 26 Sydney Swans @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Finn Callaghan (GWS GIANTS) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Finn Callaghan is Over 23.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +18.5% on this pick. Their next game is Sydney Swans vs Greater Western Sydney Giants on Saturday 25 July at ENGIE Stadium, Sydney. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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