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AFL

Dylan Shiel

Essendon

+0.8% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 14.5 -769 (1.13)
+0.8% Edge
Essendon Bombers @ Geelong Cats
GMHBA Stadium, Geelong
Fri 8 Aug, 9:40AM
Model Probability
89.3%
Implied Probability
88.5%
Model Edge
+0.8%
Predicted Value
20.7 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Dylan Shiel (Essendon) Over 14.5 Disposals (-769)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Dylan Shiel is poised to shine with his recent form. Despite averaging 14.8 disposals overall, he has been stellar away with 18.2 disposals per game. Facing Geelong, where he averages even higher at 23 disposals, Shiel is set to dominate. His 20.7 model-predicted disposals with a standard deviation of 5 show consistency. With a solid contested possessions average of 6.6 and a high disposal efficiency of 60.0%, Shiel's ability to find the ball and use it effectively makes the Over 14.5 disposals a strong bet. Additionally, his impressive metres gained average of 232.6 and a reliable away hit rate of 18/20 further support this wager.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (6 picks) 66.7% (4/6)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Aug 25 Essendon Bombers @ Geelong Cats Disposals 14.5 Over -769 ✓ HIT
17 May 25 Essendon Bombers @ Western Bulldogs Disposals 19.5 Over -156 ✗ MISS
17 May 25 Essendon Bombers @ Western Bulldogs Disposals 19.5 Over -156 ✓ HIT
17 May 25 Essendon Bombers @ Western Bulldogs Disposals Pending
17 May 25 Essendon Bombers @ Western Bulldogs Disposals Pending
17 May 25 Essendon Bombers @ Western Bulldogs Disposals Pending

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