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AFL

Darcy Jones

GWS GIANTS

+11.8% Edge
Latest Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -149 (1.67)
+11.8% Edge
Greater Western Sydney Giants @ Western Bulldogs
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne
Thu 31 Jul, 9:30AM
Model Probability
71.7%
Implied Probability
59.9%
Model Edge
+11.8%
Predicted Value
0.9 Goals

AI Analysis

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Darcy Jones (GWS GIANTS) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-149)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Darcy Jones is a strong bet to score anytime based on his recent form. With an average of 1 goal in his last 5 away games and a high goal accuracy of 41.7%, he's shown consistency in finding the big sticks. Additionally, his involvement in scoring plays, averaging 6.8 score involvements per game, and his ability to create opportunities with 3.8 inside 50s on average, make him a key attacking threat. Facing an opponent where he has historically performed well, averaging a goal per game against them, strengthens the case for him to snag a goal in this matchup. The model's prediction of 0.9 goals with a decent edge of 11.8% further supports the likelihood of Jones hitting the scoreboard.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (50 picks) 64.0% (32/50)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
31 Jul 25 Greater Western Sydney Giants @ Western Bulldogs Goals 0.5 Over -149 ✓ HIT
31 Jul 25 Greater Western Sydney Giants @ Western Bulldogs Goals 0.5 Over -149 ✗ MISS
31 Jul 25 Greater Western Sydney Giants @ Western Bulldogs Goals 0.5 Over -149 ✗ MISS
31 Jul 25 Greater Western Sydney Giants @ Western Bulldogs Goals Pending
31 Jul 25 Greater Western Sydney Giants @ Western Bulldogs Goals Pending
31 Jul 25 Greater Western Sydney Giants @ Western Bulldogs Goals Pending

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