Logo BET BETTER PRO TERMINAL
Log In
AFL

Dan Houston

Collingwood

+13.3% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Under 19.5 -132 (1.76)
+13.3% Edge
Collingwood Magpies @ St Kilda Saints
MCG, Melbourne
Sun 8 Mar, 8:20AM
Model Probability
70.1%
Implied Probability
56.8%
Model Edge
+13.3%
Predicted Value
16.9 Disposals

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Dan Houston (Collingwood) Under 19.5 Disposals (-132)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Dan Houston, the Magpies' defensive linchpin, heads to the MCG with a solid track record but faces a challenge against St Kilda. Despite averaging 18 disposals over his last 5 away matches, the under 19.5 line seems favorable. His recent contested possessions sit at 5.6, coupled with a 75.1% disposal efficiency. St Kilda's tight defensive structure may limit Houston's ball movement opportunities, potentially impacting his output. With a model prediction of 16.9 disposals and a 13.3% edge, the odds are in our favor for him to fall short of the line. Houston's recent form against this opponent further supports this wager. Betting the under on Houston's disposals could be a smart play given the circumstances.

Full AI analysis is available to subscribers

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis

Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (3 picks) 33.3% (1/3)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Mar 26 Collingwood Magpies @ St Kilda Saints Disposals 19.5 Under -132 ✗ MISS
20 Sep 25 Brisbane Lions @ Collingwood Magpies Disposals 14.5 Over -233 ✗ MISS
09 Jun 25 Collingwood Magpies @ Melbourne Demons Disposals 19.5 Under -132 ✓ HIT

Full pick history is available to subscribers

Bet Better Unlock Full History

About This Player

Dan Houston (Collingwood) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 3 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 33.3% (1/3). The latest model pick for Dan Houston is Under 19.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +13.3% on this pick. Their next game is Collingwood Magpies vs St Kilda Saints on Sunday 8 March at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.