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The latest Bet Better model pick for Brayden Maynard is Over 15.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 75%, versus the book's implied 72%, for a model edge of +2.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:14AM UTC
AFL

Brayden Maynard

Collingwood

+2.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 15.5 -263 (1.38)
+2.6% Edge
Collingwood Magpies @ Gold Coast Suns
People First Stadium, Gold Coast, QLD · Outdoor
Sat 4 Jul, 6:15AM
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Model Probability
75.1%
Implied Probability
72.5%
Model Edge
+2.6%
Predicted Value
18.9 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals75.1%72.5%1.33+2.6%

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AI Analysis

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Brayden Maynard (Collingwood) Over 15.5 Disposals (-263)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player prop bet in the AFL, Brayden Maynard is a prime candidate to shine in the upcoming clash between Collingwood and Gold Coast. Maynard's recent form on the road has been nothing short of stellar, averaging an impressive 20.4 disposals per game in his last five away fixtures. His ability to find the ball effectively, coupled with a solid contested possessions average of 5.2, indicates he's not one to shy away from the tough contests. Furthermore, Maynard's consistency in maintaining a high disposal efficiency of 78.5% showcases his composure under pressure, ensuring he maximizes his contribution whenever he gets his hands on the footy. With a model prediction of 18.9 disposals for this game and a track record of hitting his disposal mark in away games, it's reasonable to expect Maynard to surpass the 15.5 disposal line set by the bookmakers. Betting on Maynard to go over 15.5 disposals seems like a smart play given his recent performances and matchup dynamics.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
15.1avg disposals recent
Season best22
Disposals last 10avg 15.1 · hi 22 · lo 8
1713228181215131815

Brayden Maynard has a disposals high of 22 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
04 Jul 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Gold Coast Suns Disposals 15.5 Over -263 ✗ MISS
04 Jul 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Gold Coast Suns Disposals 14.5 Over -400 ✗ MISS
04 Jul 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Gold Coast Suns Disposals 13.5 Over -588 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Brayden Maynard (Collingwood) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Brayden Maynard is Over 15.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.6% on this pick. Their next game is Collingwood Magpies vs Gold Coast Suns on Saturday 4 July at People First Stadium, Gold Coast. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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