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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Brayden Maynard is Over 15.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 75 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 75%, implied 72%, edge +2.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 6:11AM UTC
AFL

Brayden Maynard

Collingwood

+2.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 15.5 -263 (1.38) · $100→$138
+2.6% Edge
Collingwood Magpies @ Gold Coast Suns
People First Stadium, Gold Coast, QLD · Outdoor
Sat 4 Jul, 6:15AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 19°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
GOOD confidence
How often this wins
75 in 100
Predicted
18.9 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 75.1% · the book's price implies 72.5% · gap +2.6%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals75.1%72.5%1.33+2.6%

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AI Analysis

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Brayden Maynard (Collingwood) Over 15.5 Disposals (-263)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player prop bet in the AFL, Brayden Maynard is a prime candidate to shine in the upcoming clash between Collingwood and Gold Coast. Maynard's recent form on the road has been nothing short of stellar, averaging an impressive 20.4 disposals per game in his last five away fixtures. His ability to find the ball effectively, coupled with a solid contested possessions average of 5.2, indicates he's not one to shy away from the tough contests. Furthermore, Maynard's consistency in maintaining a high disposal efficiency of 78.5% showcases his composure under pressure, ensuring he maximizes his contribution whenever he gets his hands on the footy. With a model prediction of 18.9 disposals for this game and a track record of hitting his disposal mark in away games, it's reasonable to expect Maynard to surpass the 15.5 disposal line set by the bookmakers. Betting on Maynard to go over 15.5 disposals seems like a smart play given his recent performances and matchup dynamics.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 2 of last 3(67%)

Season averages (2024)

Brayden Maynard averaged 17.0 disposals, 0.1 goals and 5.4 marks per game across 23 games in 2024.

17.0
Disposals
0.1
Goals
5.4
Marks
2.3
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (23 Aug 24 vs Melbourne), Brayden Maynard recorded 15 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
23 Aug 24Melbourne15051
17 Aug 24Brisbane Lions18081
9 Aug 24Sydney Swans13030
3 Aug 24Carlton15043
28 Jul 24Richmond12022
20 Jul 24Hawthorn18032
12 Jul 24Geelong Cats8033
5 Jul 24Essendon22051
29 Jun 24Gold Coast SUNS13033
16 Jun 24North Melbourne17033
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
04 Jul 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Gold Coast Suns Disposals 15.5 Over -263 ✗ MISS
04 Jul 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Gold Coast Suns Disposals 14.5 Over -400 ✓ HIT
04 Jul 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Gold Coast Suns Disposals 13.5 Over -588 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Brayden Maynard (Collingwood) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Brayden Maynard is Over 15.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.6% on this pick. Their next game is Collingwood Magpies vs Gold Coast Suns on Saturday 4 July at People First Stadium, Gold Coast. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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