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The latest Bet Better model pick for Brayden Fiorini is Over 17.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 72%, versus the book's implied 53%, for a model edge of +19.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 17, 9:48AM UTC
AFL

Brayden Fiorini

Essendon

+19.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 17.5 -114 (1.88)
+19.2% Edge
North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Essendon Bombers
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sat 28 Mar, 8:35AM
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Model Probability
72.4%
Implied Probability
53.2%
Model Edge
+19.2%
Predicted Value
20.5 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals72.4%—53.2%1.38+19.2%

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AI Analysis

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Brayden Fiorini (Essendon) Over 17.5 Disposals (-114)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Alright, footy punters, let's talk Brayden Fiorini. This Essendon gun has been a midfield maestro, racking up an average of 22.2 disposals over his last five home games. With a contested possession average of 6 and a knack for intercepting at 3.2 per game, Fiorini is a ball magnet. Against North Melbourne, he's been even more prolific, notching up 21 disposals on average in their past encounters. Facing off at Marvel Stadium, in the heart of Melbourne, Fiorini thrives in front of the Bombers faithful. His disposal efficiency at home sits at a solid 76.3%, ensuring he hits his targets more often than not. With a line set at 17.5 disposals, Fiorini's recent form, especially against North Melbourne, makes the Over a tantalizing prospect. Expect him to split the middle and snag those disposals with ease.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 5 of last 5(100%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
18.5avg disposals recent
Season best35
Disposals last 10avg 18.5 · hi 27 · lo 14
21152227142314181615

Brayden Fiorini has a disposals high of 35 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
28 Mar 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Essendon Bombers Disposals 17.5 Over -114 ✓ HIT
28 Mar 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Essendon Bombers Disposals 16.5 Over -154 ✓ HIT
28 Mar 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Essendon Bombers Disposals 15.5 Over -217 ✓ HIT
28 Mar 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Essendon Bombers Disposals — — — Pending
28 Mar 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Essendon Bombers Disposals — — — Pending
28 Mar 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Essendon Bombers Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Brayden Fiorini (Essendon) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Brayden Fiorini is Over 17.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +19.2% on this pick. Their next game is North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Essendon Bombers on Saturday 28 March at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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