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Brayden Fiorini

Essendon

Value call

Brayden Fiorini (Essendon) has one live pick today: over 17.5 disposals that pays $188 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
72 in 100
Predicted
20.5 disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 72.4% · the book's price implies 53.2% · gap +19.2%.

Latest Model PickFree
North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Essendon Bombers
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sat 28 Mar, 7:35 PM AEDT
Brayden Fiorini
over 17.5 disposals
Disposals Over 17.5 -114 (1.88) · $100→$188
Value call
HIGHWins about 72 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.80 Odds-114
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Brayden Fiorini is Over 17.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 72 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 72%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 26, 4:07PM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 12°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals72.4%—53.2%1.38+19.2%

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AI Analysis

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Brayden Fiorini (Essendon) Over 17.5 Disposals (-114)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to Essendon's clash with North Melbourne, all eyes are on Brayden Fiorini to deliver the goods on his home turf at Marvel Stadium. Fiorini's recent form is red hot, averaging a whopping 22.2 disposals in his last five home games, comfortably exceeding the 17.5 line set by the bookies. With a keen eye for ball-winning (including 10.4 kicks and 11.8 handballs per game), Fiorini is set to be a pivotal figure in this matchup. His disposal efficiency of 76.3% showcases his composure under pressure, while his ability to cover ground (305.8 metres gained on average) bodes well for hitting his mark. With a solid track record against North Melbourne too, averaging 21 disposals in their previous encounters, Fiorini looks primed to snag this bet and make a significant impact for the Bombers.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Brayden Fiorini averaged 19.0 disposals, 0.5 goals and 4.9 marks per game across 12 games in 2024.

19.0
Disposals
0.5
Goals
4.9
Marks
1.8
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (2 Aug 24 vs West Coast Eagles), Brayden Fiorini recorded 15 disposals and 1 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
2 Aug 24West Coast Eagles15123
8 Jun 24St Kilda16061
2 Jun 24Essendon18060
16 May 24Geelong Cats14061
5 May 24Brisbane Lions23034
28 Apr 24West Coast Eagles14111
21 Apr 24Sydney Swans27172
13 Apr 24Hawthorn22030
7 Apr 24GWS GIANTS15132
24 Mar 24Western Bulldogs21062
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
13 Mar 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Essendon Bombers Disposals 17.5 Over -152 ✓ HIT
13 Mar 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Essendon Bombers Disposals 16.5 Over -213 ✓ HIT
13 Mar 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Essendon Bombers Disposals 15.5 Over -303 ✓ HIT
28 Mar 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Essendon Bombers Disposals — — — Pending
28 Mar 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Essendon Bombers Disposals — — — Pending
28 Mar 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Essendon Bombers Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Brayden Fiorini (Essendon) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Brayden Fiorini is Over 17.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +19.2% on this pick. Their next game is North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Essendon Bombers on Saturday 28 March at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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