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AFL

Brad Close

Geelong Cats

+19.8% Edge
Latest Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -108 (1.93)
+19.8% Edge
Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats
MCG, Melbourne
Sat 27 Sep, 4:30AM
Model Probability
71.6%
Implied Probability
51.8%
Model Edge
+19.8%
Predicted Value
0.9 Goals

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Brad Close (Geelong Cats) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-108)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Brad Close, with a model-predicted 0.9 goals and recent form averaging 0.8 goals in his last 5 home games, shows a consistent ability to hit the scoreboard. His 28.3% goal accuracy and 3.4 inside 50s per game further support his scoring potential against Brisbane Lions, where he averages 0.4 goals in his last 5 matchups. The Over 0.5 goal line for Close presents a favorable opportunity given his recent goal-scoring form, strong involvement in creating scoring opportunities, and the model's 19.8% edge, making him a solid choice to snag a goal in this AFL clash at the MCG, Victoria.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (50 picks) 66.0% (33/50)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
27 Sep 25 Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats Goals 0.5 Over -108 ✓ HIT
27 Sep 25 Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats Goals 0.5 Over -108 ✗ MISS
27 Sep 25 Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats Goals 0.5 Over -108 ✓ HIT
27 Sep 25 Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats Goals Pending
27 Sep 25 Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats Goals Pending
27 Sep 25 Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats Goals Pending

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