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AFL

Brad Close

Geelong Cats

+9.4% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 9.5 -164 (1.61)
+9.4% Edge
Adelaide Crows @ Geelong Cats
GMHBA Stadium, Geelong
Thu 26 Mar, 8:30AM
Model Probability
71.5%
Implied Probability
62.1%
Model Edge
+9.4%
Predicted Value
12.3 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Brad Close (Geelong Cats) Over 9.5 Disposals (-164)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing Brad Close to go over 9.5 disposals against the Adelaide Crows at GMHBA Stadium, the numbers paint a compelling picture. Close has been a consistent contributor in his last five home games, averaging a solid 12.8 disposals per match. His recent performances against the Crows have been even more impressive, with an average of 13 disposals. Additionally, his efficiency has been above average, hovering around 69.9%. With a knack for gaining meters and solid contested possession numbers, Close is poised to make an impact. Given his recent form and the historical matchup data, taking the Over on Close's disposals seems like a smart play for this upcoming clash.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (2 picks) 50.0% (1/2)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
26 Mar 26 Adelaide Crows @ Geelong Cats Disposals 9.5 Over -164 ✗ MISS
27 Sep 25 Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats Goals 0.5 Over -108 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Brad Close (Geelong Cats) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 2 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 50.0% (1/2). The latest model pick for Brad Close is Over 9.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +9.4% on this pick. Their next game is Adelaide Crows vs Geelong Cats on Thursday 26 March at GMHBA Stadium, Geelong. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.