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Model picks & player props
Indiana Fever
VS
Portland Fire

Indiana Fever vs Portland Fire Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 19, 5:58AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

WNBA
Sat 1 Aug 2026, 2:06AM
20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
70.9%
Historical Hit Rate
Answer
The model’s one call for this game: Portland Fire 12.5 (Alt Spread)
The model graded 70 markets for Indiana Fever vs Portland Fire (WNBA) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $162 if it lands. Picks on this matchup have hit 70.9% across 86 settled results. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. For the numbers: model win probability 78.7%, fair odds 1.72, book price -161, model edge +17.0%. Tip-off Sat 1 Aug 2026, 2:06AM.
This game is done — from the model’s graded calls on this game
Kelsey Mitchell Over 19.5 · $100 returned $315

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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best WNBA market — 603 of 772 right (wnba spread calls)
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Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Alt Spread
Portland Fire
+12.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
Portland Firealternate_spreadsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Portland FirespreadsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Portland Firealternate_spreadsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Portland Firealternate_spreadsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Portland Firealternate_spreadsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Portland Firealternate_spreadsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Portland Firealternate_spreadsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Portland Firealternate_spreadsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Portland Firealternate_spreadsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Portland Firealternate_spreadsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Portland Firealternate_spreadsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Portland Firealternate_spreadsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Portland Firealternate_spreadsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Portland Firealternate_spreadsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Portland Firealternate_spreadsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Portland Firealternate_spreadsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UndertotalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Indiana Fever

  • Kelsey Mitchell GOut
  • Bree Hall GOut
  • Michelle Onyiah COut
  • Damiris Dantas COut

Portland Fire

  • Luisa Geiselsoder COut
  • Sarah Ashlee Barker GOut
  • Sania Feagin FOut
Availability updated Aug 19, 1:33AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Indiana Fever vs Portland Fire: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 7 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability7 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Kelsey Mitchell player_points_rebounds_alternate
Kelsey Mitchell player_points_assists_alternate
Bridget Carleton player_assists_alternate
Carla Leite player_threes_alternate
Carla Leite player_threes

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Indiana Fever @ Portland Fire — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for Indiana Fever at Portland Fire — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Indiana Fever vs Portland Fire — recent results

Portland Fire have won 4 of their last 5 games; Indiana Fever have won 5 of their last 5.

Portland Fire — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W88–85PHXAway
W84–82SEAAway
L81–85MINHome
W100–93SEAHome
W97–83TORHome
Indiana Fever — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W101–95TORAway
W95–91ATLAway
W98–87DALHome
W106–92NYHome
W90–86CHIAway

Indiana Fever vs Portland Fire — recent meetings

These two have met 3 times recently: Portland Fire won 1, Indiana Fever won 2.

DatePortland FireIndiana FeverWinner
Aug 198112Indiana Fever
May 3110084Portland Fire
May 207390Indiana Fever

Who’s out or in doubt

7 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Portland Fire
PlayerStatus
Luisa Geiselsoder COUT
Sarah Ashlee Barker GOUT
Sania Feagin FOUT
Indiana Fever
PlayerStatus
Kelsey Mitchell GOUT
Bree Hall GOUT
Michelle Onyiah COUT
Damiris Dantas COUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Indiana Fever @ Portland Fire — model preview

Portland Fire v Indiana Fever, 1 August 2026. Top of the list: Portland Fire +20.5 on the Line. Our model likes 5 bets in this game.

On Saturday 1 August 2026, Portland Fire play Indiana Fever in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Portland Fire +20.5 on the Line, priced at -667 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Portland Fire +20.5 on the Line (-667)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

As the Portland Fire gear up to face the Indiana Fever, it's hard not to feel a wave of anticipation. The Fire's home court advantage at the bustling arena cannot be overstated; they thrive in front of their fans. Though our model shows a razor-thin projected margin, factors like pace and defensive matchups tell a different story. Portland's dynamic offense has been explosive, especially with their star players firing on all cylinders. Meanwhile, the Fever have struggled to keep pace on the road, often faltering against teams that can push the tempo. If Portland can leverage their speed and capitalize on Indiana's defensive weaknesses, we could see a widening gap in the score. Betting on Portland to cover a 20.5-point spread might seem bold, but given the right momentum and a home-court boost, they have the potential to outpace expectations. It's a gamble worth taking, especially with the Fire's firepower on full display. It was priced at -667 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $11.50 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
86
Total Picks
70.9%
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
01 Aug 26 Total Points Under 202.5 ✗ MISS
01 Aug 26 Spread Portland Fire +9.5 ✗ MISS
01 Aug 26 Alt Spread Portland Fire +12.5 ✗ MISS
01 Aug 26 Alt Spread Portland Fire +13.5 ✗ MISS
01 Aug 26 Alt Spread Portland Fire +14.5 ✓ HIT
01 Aug 26 Alt Spread Portland Fire +16.5 ✓ HIT
01 Aug 26 Alt Spread Portland Fire +17.5 ✓ HIT
01 Aug 26 Alt Spread Portland Fire +15.5 ✓ HIT
01 Aug 26 Alt Spread Portland Fire +19.5 ✓ HIT
01 Aug 26 Alt Spread Portland Fire +18.5 ✓ HIT
01 Aug 26 Alt Spread Portland Fire +20.5 ✓ HIT
01 Aug 26 Alt Spread Portland Fire +21.5 ✓ HIT
01 Aug 26 Alt Spread Portland Fire +22.5 ✓ HIT
01 Aug 26 Alt Spread Portland Fire +23.5 ✓ HIT
01 Aug 26 Alt Spread Portland Fire +24.5 ✓ HIT

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Indiana Fever vs Portland Fire in the WNBA. You may also see this matchup written as Fever vs Fire, or as Fire vs Fever. The most recent game between them was Saturday 1 August 2026. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. The model has recorded a hit rate of 70.9% on tracked picks between these two teams. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your WNBA betting strategy for this matchup.

Last time they played

Final scores · last 3 meetings
Indiana Fever 2–1 across the last 3 meetings
DateGameScoreWinner
1 Aug 2026Indiana Fever @ Portland Fire98–112Indiana Fever
31 May 2026Indiana Fever @ Portland Fire100–84Portland Fire
20 May 2026Portland Fire @ Indiana Fever90–73Indiana Fever
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