On Saturday 19 September 2026, Venezia play Lazio in Serie A. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Lazio +0 Goal Handicap, priced at -222 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
As Venezia prepares to face Lazio, the form book heavily favors the visitors. Lazio comes into this matchup with a solid away record, winning four of their last five, while Venezia finds themselves in a troubling slump, having lost all five of their recent outings. Statistically, Lazio has been clinical on the road, averaging 1.4 goals per game away from home and conceding just 0.8, showcasing a stark contrast to Venezia's struggles, where they average a mere 1.2 goals scored at home and have been leaking nearly 2.4 goals per game. Moreover, Lazio's recent head-to-head dominance—winning three of the last four encounters—suggests they are well-equipped to exploit Venezia's vulnerabilities. With Lazio's strong away form and Venezia's alarming trend of conceding, backing Lazio on the alternate handicap looks promising.
Venezia vs Lazio: Lazio Draw No Bet (-233)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
As Venezia hosts Lazio this Saturday, the stats paint a clear picture favoring the visitors. Venezia is struggling, winless in their last five outings, with a troubling average of just 1.2 goals scored at home while conceding 2.4. Their inability to find the back of the net, reflected in an xG of zero, is alarming. In contrast, Lazio enters this match on a high, boasting a formidable away record, with four wins in their last five games, averaging 1.4 goals while conceding only 0.8. Their recent form against Venezia also tilts the scales, with Lazio winning three of the last five encounters. Given Lazio's current momentum and Venezia's struggles, backing Lazio in the Draw No Bet market feels like a smart move. It’s hard to see the home side pulling off a surprise here.
Venezia vs Lazio: Lazio -0.25 Goal Handicap (-145)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
As Venezia prepares to host Lazio, the form guide heavily favors the visitors. Lazio comes off a solid stretch, winning four of their last five matches, showcasing both offensive prowess and defensive resilience, conceding just 0.8 goals per game. In stark contrast, Venezia continues to struggle, with five consecutive winless outings at home and an alarming average of 2.4 goals against in those matches. Lazio's recent xG numbers reflect a more potent attack, averaging 1.6 goals in their last five, while Venezia has been stagnant, averaging just 1.2 goals at home. With Lazio boasting a robust 3-1-0 record against Venezia in their last five meetings, the trend is clear. A -0.25 handicap on Lazio feels like a smart play, as they look poised to capitalize on Venezia's defensive vulnerabilities and extend their winning form.
That is how our model reads Venezia v Lazio. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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