On Tuesday 13 October 2026, Juventus play Lazio in Serie A. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Lazio +0.75 Goal Handicap, priced at +100 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Juventus vs Lazio: Lazio +0.75 Goal Handicap (+100)
Odds correct at time of publishing As Juventus welcomes Lazio to Turin, the dynamic suggests the visitors are in a strong position to challenge the hosts. Juventus has struggled at home recently, managing just two wins in their last five outings. On the flip side, Lazio is riding high with four wins in the last five matches, showcasing a solid away form that includes a consistent scoring average of 1.4 goals while conceding only 0.8. Juventus’ last five home games have seen them average just 1.2 goals, indicating a lack of offensive firepower. Meanwhile, Lazio’s defensive discipline, highlighted by their low xG against, makes them formidable. With the recent head-to-head record leaning towards a tightly contested matchup, a bet on Lazio at +0.75 presents a compelling opportunity to capitalize on their current momentum and Juventus’ struggles. Expect Lazio to at least secure a draw, making this handicap bet an enticing prospect.
Juventus vs Lazio: Lazio Draw No Bet (+295)
Odds correct at time of publishing When Juventus hosts Lazio, it’s a classic battle of form versus tradition. While Juventus boasts a historical edge, their recent form at home—a tepid 2-2-1 in their last five—suggests vulnerabilities. Their average goals scored at home is a modest 1.2, and they’ve been less than prolific with an xG of just zero in recent matches. On the flip side, Lazio has been superb on the road, unbeaten in their last five away games, racking up an impressive 4-1-0 record. Their attacking prowess is evident, averaging 1.4 goals away with a solid defense conceding only 0.8. With Juventus struggling to convert chances, betting on Lazio to secure a draw no bet feels like a savvy wager. They’ve shown resilience against Juventus in recent meetings, making this matchup one where Lazio can capitalize on Juve’s inconsistency.
That is how our model reads Juventus v Lazio. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.