Here are our EPL picks for Sunday 1 November 2026. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Milos Kerkez (Liverpool) Over 0.5 Shots on Target, priced at +600 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Milos Kerkez (Liverpool) Over 0.5 Shots on Target (+600)

Odds correct at time of publishing

As Liverpool gears up to host Arsenal, all eyes will be on Milos Kerkez, a player who might just surprise us in the shots-on-target department. While his recent numbers show a lack of shots, playing at home against a high-caliber opponent like Arsenal could provide the spark he needs. The Reds are known for their aggressive attacking style, which not only gives defenders like Kerkez more opportunities to push forward but also forces Arsenal to defend in deeper positions. With Liverpool likely dominating possession, Kerkez could find himself in positions to unleash a shot or two. His model prediction suggests he has a decent chance of landing at least one shot on target, especially given the stakes of a match like this. The 0.5 line seems not only attainable but potentially lucrative. If Kerkez finds even a sliver of space, he could deliver on this prop, making the Over a tempting play.

Vitaliy Mykolenko (Everton) Over 0.5 Shots on Target (+600)

Odds correct at time of publishing

As Everton heads into St. James' Park, all eyes will be on Vitaliy Mykolenko, who's primed for a breakout moment. While his recent stats might suggest a quiet spell-averaging just 0.2 shots overall and none on target in his last five-this match presents a unique opportunity. Newcastle's attacking style often leaves space for defenders to exploit, and Mykolenko's ability to join the attack could be pivotal. The game state is likely to see Everton on the back foot, but even in a defensive role, he could find himself in shooting positions, especially as they seek to counter Newcastle's relentless pressure. With a modest line of 0.5 shots on target, it's a gamble worth taking. Given the right circumstances, he could easily add a shot or two on target, making this prop a tantalizing option for those looking to capitalize on an underdog chance.

Vitaliy Mykolenko (Everton) Over 1.5 Shots (+1100)

Odds correct at time of publishing

As Everton gears up to face Newcastle, all eyes should be on Vitaliy Mykolenko and his potential to unleash a few shots. While his recent performance may suggest otherwise, with just 0.2 shots per game overall and a blank slate in away matches, this is where the narrative shifts. Newcastle's attacking prowess tends to draw defenders into the fray, creating opportunities for unexpected contributions. Remember, Mykolenko isn't just a defender; he has the ability to venture forward, especially against a high-pressing Newcastle side. With the Magpies seeking dominance at home, there's a good chance Mykolenko will find himself in advanced positions, surprising both fans and bookmakers alike. So, while his recent average paints a bleak picture, the context of the match could ignite his attacking instincts. Betting on him to net over 1.5 shots feels like a calculated gamble worth taking in this compelling encounter.

Vitaliy Mykolenko (Everton) Over 0.5 Shots (+165)

Odds correct at time of publishing

As Everton heads to St. James' Park, all eyes will be on Vitaliy Mykolenko's offensive contributions. While his recent stats show a modest average of 0.2 shots per game overall and none away, the dynamics of this match suggest he could emerge from his shell. Newcastle's high-press style often invites opponents into dangerous areas, creating opportunities for defenders to join the attack. Mykolenko could find himself in positions to unleash a shot, especially if Everton looks to exploit any gaps in Newcastle's backline. With the home side likely dominating possession, Mykolenko may need to step up and take a chance or two. The odds for him to register over 0.5 shots offer tantalizing value at 2.65. Given the context, this could be a perfect moment for Mykolenko to break his dry spell and get on the scoresheet, even if just with a shot on target.

Eberechi Eze (Arsenal) Yes To Be Carded (+950)

Odds correct at time of publishing

As Eberechi Eze steps onto the pitch at Anfield, the stakes couldn't be higher. While his recent stats show a clean slate with zero yellow cards in his last five outings, context is key here. Facing off against a relentless Liverpool side, known for their aggressive pressing, Eze will be under constant pressure and could find himself in situations where a tactical foul is necessary to break up play. Moreover, the high-tempo nature of this fixture, combined with the electric atmosphere, often leads to heated exchanges. While Eze's numbers suggest he's not been carded lately, the unpredictability of a match like this, where emotions run high and the referee's decisions are magnified, could tip the scales. Betting on Eze to receive a card might seem risky, but sometimes the best opportunities lie in the chaos of a big match.

That is the model's read on today's EPL card. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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