Full preview: Everton vs Newcastle United prediction, odds and every market
On Monday 2 November 2026, Newcastle United play Everton in the EPL. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Over 1.5 Total Goals, priced at -417 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Odds correct at time of publishing
As Newcastle United hosts Everton, the stage is set for a goal-fest, making the 'Over 1.5 goals' bet quite appealing. In their last five home matches, Newcastle has averaged 1.8 goals while conceding 1.4, which hints at both attacking prowess and defensive vulnerabilities. On the flip side, Everton has struggled on the road, scoring just 0.6 goals per game in their last five outings. However, they've managed to find the back of the net against Newcastle in previous encounters, with both teams combining to exceed this total in four of their last five meetings. The xG data underscores this narrative; Newcastle's solid shot average of 12.8 creates ample opportunities, while Everton's away form suggests they could capitalize on any defensive lapses. With both teams eager to bounce back from recent form, expect this match to deliver at least two goals, making the 'Over 1.5' a savvy pick.
Newcastle United vs Everton: Newcastle United Moneyline (+130)
Odds correct at time of publishing
As Newcastle United gears up to face Everton, the Magpies present a compelling case for victory. Despite a mixed home record of 2-2-1 in their last five, they've averaged a commendable 1.8 goals at St. James' Park, a stark contrast to Everton's struggles, where they've scored just 0.6 goals per away match. Recent form shows Newcastle creating opportunities with a solid 12.8 shots on average, while Everton is floundering with only 11.6. The xG numbers further highlight Newcastle's edge; they've consistently converted chances at home, while Everton's offense seems out of sync. The Toffees have not secured a win in their last five away matches, making this an uphill battle. With Newcastle's attacking prowess and Everton's dwindling form, backing the Magpies for the win feels like a savvy move. Expect Newcastle to capitalize on their home advantage and secure the three points.
That is how our model reads Newcastle United v Everton. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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