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Model picks & player props
Leeds United
VS
Aston Villa

Leeds United vs Aston Villa Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 6, 12:44PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

Soccer
Villa Park, Birmingham
Outdoor
Sat 21 Feb 2026, 3:00PM
20
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
No Both Teams to Score +110

The model graded 20 markets for Leeds United vs Aston Villa (Soccer) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $210 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sat 21 Feb 2026, 3:00PM at Villa Park.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win62.8%
The price says47.6%
Best price+110
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Both Teams to Score No High63% chance +110
Both Teams to Score High63% chance —
Head to Head (3-Way) High61% chance —
Moneyline High61% chance —
Head to Head (3-Way) High61% chance —
Moneyline High61% chance —
Draw No Bet High74% chance —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every Soccer game on today's board →

Leeds United and Aston Villa last met on Sat 21 Feb 2026. What follows is the model's graded record from that game; a new preview appears here the moment the next one is priced. Today's board: every Soccer game priced right now.

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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best Soccer market — 48 of 101 right (soccer draw no bet calls)
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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Both Teams to Score
No
+110
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
NoBoth Teams to ScoreThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
NoBoth Teams to ScoreThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Aston VillaHead to Head (3-Way)The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Aston VillaMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Aston VillaHead to Head (3-Way)The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Aston VillaMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Aston VillaDraw No BetThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Leeds United

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Aston Villa

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Leeds United vs Aston Villa: Soccer weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Soccer on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineLeeds United @ Aston VillaNo line posted
61%Aston Villa win %
3-2-1past meetings (last 6)
Draw44%Home form11-5-4Away form3-5-12
past meetings, home wins3 / 6 home

In their last 6 meetings, Aston Villa have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 1; the model reads Aston Villa's win chance at 61% for this fixture. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Both Teams to ScoreLeeds United @ Aston VillaNo line posted
62%both teams score %
2 / 6past meetings, both scored
Aston Vill60%Leeds Unit70%
past meetings, both scored2 / 6 both scored

Both teams scored in 60% of Aston Villa's and 70% of Leeds United's recent matches; our model makes both teams scoring 62% here. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Total GoalsLeeds United @ Aston VillaNo line posted
4 / 6past meetings, over 2.5
Home ov2.565%Away ov2.565%past meetings avg2.7
past meetings, over 2.54 / 6 over

The last 6 meetings averaged 2.7 goals, over 2.5 in 4 of them. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Leeds United @ Aston Villa — what the model found

Our model graded 20 betting markets for Leeds United at Aston Villa — 20 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 20 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 19 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Leeds United vs Aston Villa in the Soccer. You may also see this matchup written as United vs Villa, or as Villa vs United. The most recent game between them was Saturday 21 February 2026 at Villa Park. The model has generated 20 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Soccer betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 8 meetings on record
Aston Villa 4–1 across the last 8 meetings · 3 draws · these games average 2.6 goals (meetings on record since 2020)
DateGameScoreWinner
21 Feb 2026Leeds United @ Aston Villa1–1Draw
23 Nov 2025Aston Villa @ Leeds United1–2Aston Villa
13 Jan 2023Leeds United @ Aston Villa2–1Aston Villa
2 Oct 2022Aston Villa @ Leeds United0–0Draw
10 Mar 2022Aston Villa @ Leeds United0–3Aston Villa
9 Feb 2022Leeds United @ Aston Villa3–3Draw
27 Feb 2021Aston Villa @ Leeds United0–1Aston Villa
23 Oct 2020Leeds United @ Aston Villa0–3Leeds United
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