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Model picks & player props
Bournemouth
VS
Aston Villa

Bournemouth vs Aston Villa Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 6, 7:32PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

Soccer
Villa Park, Birmingham
Outdoor
Sun 9 Nov 2025, 2:00PM
5
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Aston Villa Draw No Bet -154

The model graded 5 markets for Bournemouth vs Aston Villa (Soccer) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $165 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 9 Nov 2025, 2:00PM at Villa Park.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win68.4%
The price says60.6%
Best price-154
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Draw No Bet Aston Villa High68% chance -154
Head to Head (3-Way) Long-shot33% chance —
Moneyline Long-shot33% chance —
Head to Head (3-Way) Long-shot31% chance —
Moneyline Long-shot31% chance —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every Soccer game on today's board →

Bournemouth and Aston Villa last met on Sun 9 Nov 2025. What follows is the model's graded record from that game; a new preview appears here the moment the next one is priced. Today's board: every Soccer game priced right now.

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This game is done — the model’s call CASHED
Aston Villa · $100 returned $165

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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best Soccer market — 48 of 102 right (soccer draw no bet calls)
This bet type · last timeSep 6
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Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Draw No Bet
Aston Villa
-154
+ 4 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Aston VillaDraw No BetThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
BournemouthHead to Head (3-Way)The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
BournemouthMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
DrawHead to Head (3-Way)The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
DrawMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

AFC Bournemouth

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Aston Villa

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Bournemouth vs Aston Villa: Soccer weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Soccer on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineBournemouth @ Aston VillaNo line posted
3-2-3past meetings (last 8)
Draw51%Home form11-5-4Away form7-7-6
past meetings, home wins3 / 8 home

In their last 8 meetings, Aston Villa have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 3. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Both Teams to ScoreBournemouth @ Aston VillaNo line posted
70%both teams score %
5 / 8past meetings, both scored
Aston Vill60%Bournemout55%
past meetings, both scored5 / 8 both scored

Both teams scored in 60% of Aston Villa's and 55% of Bournemouth's recent matches; our model makes both teams scoring 70% here. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Total GoalsBournemouth @ Aston VillaNo line posted
5 / 8past meetings, over 2.5
Home ov2.565%Away ov2.560%past meetings avg2.8
past meetings, over 2.55 / 8 over

The last 8 meetings averaged 2.8 goals, over 2.5 in 5 of them. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Bournemouth @ Aston Villa — what the model found

Our model graded 5 betting markets for Bournemouth at Aston Villa — 5 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

5
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 5 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 4 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Cashed picks for this matchup

From the public log
DateMarketPickResult
09 Nov 25 Draw No Bet Aston Villa ✓ HIT

Every pick — wins and losses — is logged on the public record.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Bournemouth vs Aston Villa in the Soccer. The most recent game between them was Sunday 9 November 2025 at Villa Park. The model has generated 5 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Soccer betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 12 meetings on record
Aston Villa 5–4 across the last 12 meetings · 3 draws · these games average 2.7 goals (meetings on record since 2015)
DateGameScoreWinner
7 Feb 2026Aston Villa @ Bournemouth1–1Draw
9 Nov 2025Bournemouth @ Aston Villa4–0Aston Villa
10 May 2025Aston Villa @ Bournemouth0–1Aston Villa
26 Oct 2024Bournemouth @ Aston Villa1–1Draw
21 Apr 2024Bournemouth @ Aston Villa3–1Aston Villa
3 Dec 2023Aston Villa @ Bournemouth2–2Draw
18 Mar 2023Bournemouth @ Aston Villa3–0Aston Villa
6 Aug 2022Aston Villa @ Bournemouth2–0Bournemouth
1 Feb 2020Aston Villa @ Bournemouth2–1Bournemouth
17 Aug 2019Bournemouth @ Aston Villa1–2Bournemouth

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 12 meetings on file.

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