On Monday 7 September 2026, Sassuolo play Juventus in Serie A. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Sassuolo vs Juventus: Sassuolo +1.5 Goal Handicap, priced at -208 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Sassuolo vs Juventus: Sassuolo +1.5 Goal Handicap (-208)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As Sassuolo prepares to host Juventus, there’s an intriguing narrative unfolding. Despite Sassuolo’s recent form at home showing a modest 1-1-3 overall, they’ve been a different beast when it comes to home advantage, going 4-0-1 in their last five at home. Their ability to score an average of two goals at home, coupled with Juventus’ struggle to maintain a solid away record — just 1 goal conceded against 1.2 scored in the last five — suggests Sassuolo could outpace them. Juventus has been grinding out results but has shown vulnerabilities on the road, particularly against teams that press. With Sassuolo's recent xG indicating a promising attacking approach, they may just edge out the Old Lady. Betting on Sassuolo to cover the handicap of 1.5 feels compelling as they look to capitalize on their home strengths against a Juventus side that might be ripe for an upset.

Sassuolo vs Juventus: Both Teams To Score: No (-110)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As Sassuolo prepares to host Juventus, recent form suggests a low-scoring affair is on the cards. Despite Sassuolo's home advantage, they’ve struggled lately, with just one win in their last five games and scoring an average of only 1.4 goals per match. Defensively, they’ve allowed 1.8 goals per game, indicating vulnerabilities that Juventus will likely exploit. However, Juventus has been solid defensively on the road, conceding just 0.4 goals away in their last five outings. Moreover, both teams’ xG numbers paint a picture of an underwhelming attacking display. Sassuolo’s xG has been non-existent lately, while Juventus has looked more composed, averaging merely 1 goal in their last away games. With both sides struggling to find the net consistently, betting on ‘No’ for both teams to score seems wise.

That is how our model reads Sassuolo v Juventus. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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