Deni Avdija (Portland Trail Blazers) Under 26.5 Points + Assists (-127)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Trail Blazers prepare to host the Hornets, all eyes will be on Deni Avdija, but I see value in betting the Under on his combined points and assists at 26.5. While his recent numbers look impressive-averaging 27.6 points and 6 assists in the last five games-context matters. At home, those averages dip slightly to 25.6 points and 5.6 assists, indicating a tendency to rely more on teammates in familiar territory. Historically, Avdija struggles against the Hornets, with just 15 points and 3.2 assists in their last five matchups. In fact, his home hit rate suggests he's gone Under in 11 of his last 18 at home. Given these trends and the overall expected stat value of 22.71, it seems prudent to expect Avdija to fall short of that 26.5 mark against Charlotte.

Brandon Miller (Charlotte Hornets) Over 2.5 Assists (-175)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

When it comes to Brandon Miller, the buzz around his playmaking ability can't be ignored, especially as the Charlotte Hornets head to Portland. With an average of 4.4 assists over his last five games and an impressive 4.6 assists in away games, he's clearly found his rhythm on the road. Even more compelling is his recent form against the Blazers; while he's averaged 1 assist against them, that number doesn't capture his evolving role in the offense. Looking at the last 20 games, he's hit the over on 2.5 assists 16 times-an incredible 80% success rate. And let's not forget, he's hit this mark in 10 of his last 11 away games. With Portland's defense occasionally leaving holes, Miller is primed to dish out at least three assists. Betting on him to go over 2.5 feels not just safe, but smart.

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