Ace Bailey (Utah Jazz) Under 2.5 Threes Made (+130)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

In the upcoming clash between the Oklahoma City Thunder and the Utah Jazz, targeting Ace Bailey for under 2.5 threes made feels like a savvy play. Despite his recent success, Bailey has been more of a role player on the road. While he's averaging 2.2 threes in his last five away games, it's essential to consider the context-he's only hit 2 against the Jazz specifically, and when playing in Utah, he hasn't made a single three in his last outing there. His last six games overall show a solid hit rate of 5 out of 6, but don't let those numbers fool you. With an expected stat value of just 1.87 and a hit rate in his last three road games being a perfect 3 for 3, it's clear that he thrives in certain matchups but not against the Jazz. Taking the under here seems like a smart, data-driven decision.

Brice Sensabaugh (Utah Jazz) Under 3.5 Threes Made (-135)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Jazz head to Oklahoma City, Brice Sensabaugh's recent performance suggests a strong case for taking the under on his three-pointers made at 3.5. While he's hit the mark five out of his last six games, context matters-especially when on the road. Averaging just 2.8 threes in away games, Sensabaugh struggles to find his rhythm outside of familiar territory. Against the Thunder, history doesn't favor him either; he's only managed an average of 0.3 threes in their last three matchups. With the Thunder's defense tightening up, and Sensabaugh's recent average against them dropping to 1.4, it's hard to envision him surpassing that 3.5 threshold. Given these numbers, the smart play leans towards the under-especially as the Jazz look to other offensive options in a tough road environment.

Isaiah Hartenstein (Oklahoma City Thunder) Over 16.5 Points + Rebounds (+100)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Isaiah Hartenstein has been quietly impactful lately, and with the Thunder hosting the Jazz, the stage is set for him to shine. Over the last six games, he's cleared the 16.5 mark in points and rebounds four times, showcasing a solid rhythm. At home, he's been even better, hitting this prop in 10 of his last 14 games, averaging a robust 11 boards and 5.6 points. Against the Jazz, he's historically found success, averaging around 9 points and 8.4 rebounds in their recent matchups. Those numbers, combined with his current form-10.4 boards per game in his last five-paint a picture of a player ready to dominate on his home court. With an expected stat value of 19.33, Hartenstein seems poised to deliver, making the Over 16.5 a compelling bet in this matchup.

See All Our Picks

You're viewing a preview. Subscribe today to unlock the full article and gain access to all our expert insights and best bets - every single day.

Get Bet Better Pro