St George Illawarra Dragons v Dolphins, 31 July 2026. Top of the list: Over 34.5 Total Points. Our model likes 4 bets in this game.
On Friday 31 July 2026, St George Illawarra Dragons play Dolphins in the NRL. Our model likes 4 bets here. The one it likes most is Over 34.5 Total Points, priced at -714 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Over 34.5 Total Points (-714)
Odds available at PointsBet at time of publishing
On Friday 31 July 2026, St George Illawarra Dragons host Dolphins in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Over 34.5 Total Points. This wins if the two sides score more than 34.5 points between them. This is one of the bookmaker's alternate lines, not the main one, so the price is different. It was priced at -714 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $11.40 if it lands. That price was showing at PointsBet. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at -714 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $11.40 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Dolphins to Win (-435)
Odds available at Betfair at time of publishing
On Friday 31 July 2026, St George Illawarra Dragons host Dolphins in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Dolphins Match Winner. This one only needs Dolphins to win the game. It was priced at -435 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $12.30 if it lands. That price was showing at Betfair. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at -435 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $12.30 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Loko Pasifiki Tonga to Score a Try (+1200)
Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing
On Friday 31 July 2026, St George Illawarra Dragons host Dolphins in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Loko Pasifiki Tonga Anytime Try Scorer. This wins if Loko Pasifiki Tonga scores a try at any point in the game. It was priced at +1200 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $130 if it lands. That price was showing at Sportsbet. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at +1200 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $130 if it lands. This is a long shot at the price, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Clinton Gutherson Over 2.5 Tries (+12500)
Odds available at Unibet at time of publishing
On Friday 31 July 2026, St George Illawarra Dragons host Dolphins in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Clinton Gutherson Over 2.5 Tries. This wins if Clinton Gutherson scores at least 3 tries. It was priced at +12500 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $1260 if it lands. That price was showing at Unibet. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at +12500 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $1260 if it lands. This is a long shot at the price, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads St George Illawarra Dragons v Dolphins. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
🔒 The other 3 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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