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Model picks & player props
Canterbury Bulldogs
VS
St George Illawarra Dragons

Canterbury Bulldogs vs St George Illawarra Dragons Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 5, 8:22PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

NRL
Sat 22 Aug 2026, 9:35AM
20
Game markets graded
4
Props graded
63.5%
Historical Hit Rate
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Over 52.5 Alt Total Points +310

The model graded 24 markets for Canterbury Bulldogs vs St George Illawarra Dragons (NRL) and this is the one it backs hardest — a long shot. A $100 bet returns about $410 if it lands. Picks on this matchup have hit 63.5% across 63 settled results. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sat 22 Aug 2026, 9:35AM.

Our confidenceLong-shot
Chance to win31.8%
The price says22.9%
Best price+310
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Alt Total Points Over 52.5 Long-shot32% chance +310
Alt Total Points Long-shot25% chance
Total Points Lean59% chance
Total Points Lean57% chance
Alt Total Points Lean57% chance
Total Points Lean53% chance
Alt Spread Long-shot14% chance
Alt Total Points Long-shot19% chance
Alt Spread Long-shot26% chance
Anytime Try × 1 prop Long-shotup to 16%
Try Scorer First × 1 prop Long-shotup to 2%
Tries Over × 1 prop Long-shotup to 2%
Try Scorer Last × 1 prop Long-shotup to 3%
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
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This game is done — the model’s call CASHED
Over 52.5 · $100 returned $400

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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best NRL market — 82 of 131 right (nrl totals overs)
This bet type · last timeSep 4
Over 48.5
Sydney Roosters @ South Sydney Rabbitohs
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $205
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Alt Total Points
Over
64.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
OverAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Canterbury BulldogsAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Canterbury BulldogsAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Canterbury BulldogsAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St George Illawarra DragonsAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St George Illawarra DragonsAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St George Illawarra DragonsAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Canterbury BulldogsAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Canterbury BulldogsAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St George Illawarra DragonsAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
St George Illawarra DragonsAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Canterbury Bulldogs

Player availability is not tracked for NRL on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

St George Illawarra Dragons

Player availability is not tracked for NRL on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Canterbury Bulldogs vs St George Illawarra Dragons: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and player availability isn't tracked for NRL on this page.

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See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Josh Curran Anytime Try
Josh Curran Try Scorer First
Josh Curran Tries Over
Josh Curran Try Scorer Last

+ 4 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Canterbury Bulldogs @ St George Illawarra Dragons — what the model found

Our model graded 24 betting markets for Canterbury Bulldogs at St George Illawarra Dragons — 20 on the game itself and 4 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
4
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 24 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 23 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Canterbury Bulldogs @ St George Illawarra Dragons — model preview

St George Illawarra Dragons v Canterbury Bulldogs, 22 August 2026. Top of the list: Over 32.5 Total Points. Our model likes 3 bets in this game.

On Saturday 22 August 2026, St George Illawarra Dragons play Canterbury Bulldogs in the NRL. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Over 32.5 Total Points, priced at -417 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Over 32.5 Total Points (-417)

Odds available at Tabtouch at time of publishing

On Saturday 22 August 2026, St George Illawarra Dragons host Canterbury Bulldogs in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Over 32.5 Total Points. This wins if the two sides score more than 32.5 points between them. This is one of the bookmaker's alternate lines, not the main one, so the price is different. It was priced at -417 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $12.40 if it lands. That price was showing at TABtouch. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at -417 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $12.40 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

🔒 The other 2 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
63
Total Picks
63.5%
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
22 Aug 26 Alt Total Points Over 64.5 ✗ MISS
22 Aug 26 Alt Total Points Over 52.5 ✓ HIT
22 Aug 26 Alt Spread Canterbury Bulldogs -26.5 ✓ HIT
22 Aug 26 Alt Spread St George Illawarra Dragons -14.5 ✗ MISS
22 Aug 26 Alt Total Points Over 43.5 ✓ HIT
22 Aug 26 Total Points Over 42.5 ✓ HIT
22 Aug 26 Alt Spread St George Illawarra Dragons -15.5 ✗ MISS
22 Aug 26 Alt Spread Canterbury Bulldogs -22.5 ✓ HIT
22 Aug 26 Alt Spread St George Illawarra Dragons -4.5 ✗ MISS
22 Aug 26 Total Points Over 43.5 ✓ HIT
22 Aug 26 Alt Spread Canterbury Bulldogs -23.5 ✓ HIT
22 Aug 26 Alt Spread St George Illawarra Dragons -5.5 ✗ MISS
22 Aug 26 Alt Total Points Over 55.5 ✓ HIT
22 Aug 26 Alt Spread St George Illawarra Dragons -8.5 ✗ MISS
22 Aug 26 Total Points Over 44.5 ✓ HIT

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Canterbury Bulldogs vs St George Illawarra Dragons in the NRL. You may also see this matchup written as Bulldogs vs Dragons, or as Dragons vs Bulldogs. The most recent game between them was Saturday 22 August 2026. The model has generated 20 game picks and 4 player props for this matchup. The model has recorded a hit rate of 63.5% on tracked picks between these two teams. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NRL betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 2 meetings on record
Canterbury Bulldogs 2–0 across the last 2 meetings
DateGameScoreWinner
22 Aug 2026Bulldogs @ Dragons14–44Bulldogs
1 Mar 2026Dragons @ Bulldogs15–14Bulldogs
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